Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and one he captured in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote. He advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia secured her nomination with roughly 65 percent in a low-turnout contest against Raymond Keeler. Hamadeh’s substantial fundraising edge and the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring his reelection on November 3. Greene-Placentia’s campaign emphasizes working-class issues and criticism of the Republican majority, yet faces structural headwinds in the West Valley stronghold that limit her path to an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-08 House Election Winner
AZ-08 House Election Winner
$11,414 Обс.
$11,414 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Abraham Hamadeh (R)
85%
Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D)
17%
$11,414 Обс.
$11,414 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Abraham Hamadeh (R)
$4,585 Обс.
85%
Bernadette Greene-Placentia (D)
$6,829 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and one he captured in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote. He advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia secured her nomination with roughly 65 percent in a low-turnout contest against Raymond Keeler. Hamadeh’s substantial fundraising edge and the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring his reelection on November 3. Greene-Placentia’s campaign emphasizes working-class issues and criticism of the Republican majority, yet faces structural headwinds in the West Valley stronghold that limit her path to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,414Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and one he captured in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote. He advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia secured her nomination with roughly 65 percent in a low-turnout contest against Raymond Keeler. Hamadeh’s substantial fundraising edge and the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring his reelection on November 3. Greene-Placentia’s campaign emphasizes working-class issues and criticism of the Republican majority, yet faces structural headwinds in the West Valley stronghold that limit her path to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,414Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Abraham Hamadeh holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Arizona’s 8th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters and one he captured in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote. He advanced unopposed through the July 2026 Republican primary while Democrat Bernadette Greene-Placentia secured her nomination with roughly 65 percent in a low-turnout contest against Raymond Keeler. Hamadeh’s substantial fundraising edge and the district’s consistent Republican performance in recent cycles underpin trader consensus favoring his reelection on November 3. Greene-Placentia’s campaign emphasizes working-class issues and criticism of the Republican majority, yet faces structural headwinds in the West Valley stronghold that limit her path to an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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