Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan maintaining a lead for one Senate seat ahead of the October 4 election, while Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto remain closely matched for second place. Surveys from Veritá and Quaest in August and September place the two incumbents within a few points of each other in combined first- and second-choice intentions, with margins inside typical error ranges. Voter volatility among the remaining 36% who may still shift preferences, combined with the mechanics of selecting two candidates per ballot, sustains the tight positioning reflected in trader consensus. Late campaign events or turnout differences among key regional blocs could alter the final ordering for the second vacancy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRandolfe 46%
Lucas Barreto 40%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Capi 4.0%
$16,488 Обс.
$16,488 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Randolfe
46%
Lucas Barreto
37%
Alliny Serrão
7%
Capi
4%
Professor Uzian Pinto
4%
Rayssa Furlan
3%
Acácio Favacho
3%
Juíza Jô
3%
Helio Silva
1%
Randolfe 46%
Lucas Barreto 40%
Alliny Serrão 7%
Capi 4.0%
$16,488 Обс.
$16,488 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Randolfe
$8,911 Обс.
46%
Lucas Barreto
$3,421 Обс.
37%
Alliny Serrão
$645 Обс.
7%
Capi
$237 Обс.
4%
Professor Uzian Pinto
$511 Обс.
4%
Rayssa Furlan
$282 Обс.
3%
Acácio Favacho
$482 Обс.
3%
Juíza Jô
$184 Обс.
3%
Helio Silva
$1,816 Обс.
1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan maintaining a lead for one Senate seat ahead of the October 4 election, while Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto remain closely matched for second place. Surveys from Veritá and Quaest in August and September place the two incumbents within a few points of each other in combined first- and second-choice intentions, with margins inside typical error ranges. Voter volatility among the remaining 36% who may still shift preferences, combined with the mechanics of selecting two candidates per ballot, sustains the tight positioning reflected in trader consensus. Late campaign events or turnout differences among key regional blocs could alter the final ordering for the second vacancy.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,488Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan maintaining a lead for one Senate seat ahead of the October 4 election, while Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto remain closely matched for second place. Surveys from Veritá and Quaest in August and September place the two incumbents within a few points of each other in combined first- and second-choice intentions, with margins inside typical error ranges. Voter volatility among the remaining 36% who may still shift preferences, combined with the mechanics of selecting two candidates per ballot, sustains the tight positioning reflected in trader consensus. Late campaign events or turnout differences among key regional blocs could alter the final ordering for the second vacancy.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amapá is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$16,488Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:54 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Amapá shows Rayssa Furlan maintaining a lead for one Senate seat ahead of the October 4 election, while Randolfe Rodrigues and Lucas Barreto remain closely matched for second place. Surveys from Veritá and Quaest in August and September place the two incumbents within a few points of each other in combined first- and second-choice intentions, with margins inside typical error ranges. Voter volatility among the remaining 36% who may still shift preferences, combined with the mechanics of selecting two candidates per ballot, sustains the tight positioning reflected in trader consensus. Late campaign events or turnout differences among key regional blocs could alter the final ordering for the second vacancy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання