**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 22 minimum temperature centers on the 27°C outcome (53.5% implied probability), closely followed by 26°C (27.5%), reflecting consistent official forecasts of a nighttime low near 27–28°C.** India Meteorological Department block-level guidance for Lucknow districts on September 22 projects a minimum of 28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and low rainfall probability. This aligns with recent observations—26.4°C on September 20 after isolated light rain—and international model consensus (e.g., Met Office and others indicating ~27°C). Late-September conditions in Lucknow feature high humidity from the retreating southwest monsoon, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling despite clearing skies. Historical September averages (roughly 24–26°C) provide context, but current synoptic stability—monsoon withdrawal progressing without fresh low-pressure systems or cold-air advection—supports the slightly elevated range. Lower-probability outcomes like 22°C or below would require unexpected stronger cooling or persistent cloud cover, while warmer extremes (32°C+) remain unlikely given the forecast pattern. Upcoming IMD updates and any revised model runs through September 21–22 represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 22?
27°C 54%
32°C or higher 46%
22°C or below 45%
26°C 44%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
45%
23°C
38%
24°C
38%
25°C
38%
26°C
28%
27°C
54%
28°C
39%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
46%
27°C 54%
32°C or higher 46%
22°C or below 45%
26°C 44%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 22, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
45%
23°C
$0 Vol.
38%
24°C
$0 Vol.
38%
25°C
$0 Vol.
38%
26°C
$10 Vol.
28%
27°C
$54 Vol.
54%
28°C
$0 Vol.
39%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
16%
31°C
$0 Vol.
13%
32°C or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 22 minimum temperature centers on the 27°C outcome (53.5% implied probability), closely followed by 26°C (27.5%), reflecting consistent official forecasts of a nighttime low near 27–28°C.**
India Meteorological Department block-level guidance for Lucknow districts on September 22 projects a minimum of 28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and low rainfall probability. This aligns with recent observations—26.4°C on September 20 after isolated light rain—and international model consensus (e.g., Met Office and others indicating ~27°C).
Late-September conditions in Lucknow feature high humidity from the retreating southwest monsoon, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling despite clearing skies. Historical September averages (roughly 24–26°C) provide context, but current synoptic stability—monsoon withdrawal progressing without fresh low-pressure systems or cold-air advection—supports the slightly elevated range.
Lower-probability outcomes like 22°C or below would require unexpected stronger cooling or persistent cloud cover, while warmer extremes (32°C+) remain unlikely given the forecast pattern. Upcoming IMD updates and any revised model runs through September 21–22 represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$64Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 22 minimum temperature centers on the 27°C outcome (53.5% implied probability), closely followed by 26°C (27.5%), reflecting consistent official forecasts of a nighttime low near 27–28°C.**
India Meteorological Department block-level guidance for Lucknow districts on September 22 projects a minimum of 28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and low rainfall probability. This aligns with recent observations—26.4°C on September 20 after isolated light rain—and international model consensus (e.g., Met Office and others indicating ~27°C).
Late-September conditions in Lucknow feature high humidity from the retreating southwest monsoon, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling despite clearing skies. Historical September averages (roughly 24–26°C) provide context, but current synoptic stability—monsoon withdrawal progressing without fresh low-pressure systems or cold-air advection—supports the slightly elevated range.
Lower-probability outcomes like 22°C or below would require unexpected stronger cooling or persistent cloud cover, while warmer extremes (32°C+) remain unlikely given the forecast pattern. Upcoming IMD updates and any revised model runs through September 21–22 represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$64Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s September 22 minimum temperature centers on the 27°C outcome (53.5% implied probability), closely followed by 26°C (27.5%), reflecting consistent official forecasts of a nighttime low near 27–28°C.** India Meteorological Department block-level guidance for Lucknow districts on September 22 projects a minimum of 28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and low rainfall probability. This aligns with recent observations—26.4°C on September 20 after isolated light rain—and international model consensus (e.g., Met Office and others indicating ~27°C). Late-September conditions in Lucknow feature high humidity from the retreating southwest monsoon, which limits nocturnal radiative cooling despite clearing skies. Historical September averages (roughly 24–26°C) provide context, but current synoptic stability—monsoon withdrawal progressing without fresh low-pressure systems or cold-air advection—supports the slightly elevated range. Lower-probability outcomes like 22°C or below would require unexpected stronger cooling or persistent cloud cover, while warmer extremes (32°C+) remain unlikely given the forecast pattern. Upcoming IMD updates and any revised model runs through September 21–22 represent the key near-term catalysts that could shift these market-implied odds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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