**Trader consensus on the 25°C outcome at 100% implied probability reflects confirmed observational data from official Buenos Aires weather stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 25°C (77°F) on September 20, 2026.** Surface reports, including from Ministro Pistarini International Airport, recorded afternoon peaks reaching this threshold amid a day of rain, high humidity, and variable winds, with temperatures ranging roughly 14–25°C. This aligned with model consensus from GFS and other guidance that captured a modest warm anomaly relative to September climatological highs near 17–19°C. The market-implied odds treat the official resolution criteria—precise station maximum—as settled by verified measurements rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies that shift the recorded high to 24°C or 26°C, though multiple independent reports converge on the 25°C peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 20?
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$42,271 Vol.
$42,271 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$42,271 Vol.
$42,271 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**Trader consensus on the 25°C outcome at 100% implied probability reflects confirmed observational data from official Buenos Aires weather stations showing a daily maximum of exactly 25°C (77°F) on September 20, 2026.** Surface reports, including from Ministro Pistarini International Airport, recorded afternoon peaks reaching this threshold amid a day of rain, high humidity, and variable winds, with temperatures ranging roughly 14–25°C. This aligned with model consensus from GFS and other guidance that captured a modest warm anomaly relative to September climatological highs near 17–19°C. The market-implied odds treat the official resolution criteria—precise station maximum—as settled by verified measurements rather than forecasts. Unlikely challenges include post-event data revisions or station-specific discrepancies that shift the recorded high to 24°C or 26°C, though multiple independent reports converge on the 25°C peak.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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