Trader consensus strongly favors an 88-89°F high in Miami on September 20 due to official National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing typical late-September conditions dominated by afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity. These factors promote convective cloud cover that limits peak solar heating near the 88.9°F climatological average, with surface observations confirming a maximum of 90°F amid scattered showers. NOAA data and historical analogs indicate such patterns reliably cap daily highs in this range during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. A clear-sky regime or stronger high-pressure ridge suppressing convection could have allowed readings into the low 90s, though ensemble forecasts showed low probability of those conditions materializing by the observation window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Miami on September 20?
88-89°F 100%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$66,650 Vol.
$66,650 Vol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100%
77°F or below <1%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
$66,650 Vol.
$66,650 Vol.
77°F or below
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47de9d...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47de9d...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Trader consensus strongly favors an 88-89°F high in Miami on September 20 due to official National Weather Service observations and model guidance showing typical late-September conditions dominated by afternoon thunderstorms and high humidity. These factors promote convective cloud cover that limits peak solar heating near the 88.9°F climatological average, with surface observations confirming a maximum of 90°F amid scattered showers. NOAA data and historical analogs indicate such patterns reliably cap daily highs in this range during the peak of the Atlantic hurricane season. A clear-sky regime or stronger high-pressure ridge suppressing convection could have allowed readings into the low 90s, though ensemble forecasts showed low probability of those conditions materializing by the observation window.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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