**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 20?
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$107,179 Vol.
$107,179 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$107,179 Vol.
$107,179 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
26°C or below
$451 Vol.
No
27°C
$513 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,409 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,485 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,886 Vol.
No
31°C
$18,147 Vol.
No
32°C
$20,365 Vol.
No
33°C
$26,621 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$20,115 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,096 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$2,092 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$107,179Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$107,179Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a precise daily maximum of 33°C on September 20, 2026, at the primary station, driving the 99.9% market-implied probability for that exact outcome.** Afternoon readings peaked at 33°C around 14:00–14:30 local time amid light easterly winds, moderate humidity near 50–60%, and partly cloudy skies that allowed strong solar heating without significant convective cooling. This aligns with seasonal forecasts anticipating above-normal temperatures for late September and exceeds the 1991–2020 climatological average maximum of roughly 29°C for the period. The consensus reflects real-time data from the authoritative HKO network rather than model projections. Only an unforeseen post-observation correction or redefinition of the recording station could shift the result, though such revisions remain rare for this metric.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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