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icon for Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canada

Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canada

Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Élodie Murphy-Gauthier 65%

Guy Veillette 34%

Laurent Bélisle <1%

Charles Paquin <1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Élodie Murphy-Gauthier 65%

Guy Veillette 34%

Laurent Bélisle <1%

Charles Paquin <1%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Élodie Murphy-Gauthier

Élodie Murphy-Gauthier

$1,339 Vol.

65%

icon for Guy Veillette

Guy Veillette

$1,460 Vol.

34%

icon for Laurent Bélisle

Laurent Bélisle

$338 Vol.

<1%

icon for Charles Paquin

Charles Paquin

$1,179 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Élodie Murphy-Gauthier of the Parti Québécois holds the strongest position among traders due to the party's leading provincial polling and her early, high-profile campaign launch in the riding. As a family physician with deep local roots in Shawinigan and Mauricie, she has emphasized health-care access and social services since her February 2026 nomination and April campaign kickoff, drawing support from PQ leader Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon. Guy Veillette of the Coalition Avenir Québec trails as the challenger in a seat the CAQ has held since 2018, with the incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif not seeking re-election. Recent riding projections from models such as 338Canada show the PQ ahead, though the race remains competitive with vote shares clustered in the low 30s for the top two parties and significant undecided or third-party support. The October 5, 2026, general election date sets the resolution timeline, with local issues like regional services likely influencing final turnout.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,316
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Élodie Murphy-Gauthier of the Parti Québécois holds the strongest position among traders due to the party's leading provincial polling and her early, high-profile campaign launch in the riding. As a family physician with deep local roots in Shawinigan and Mauricie, she has emphasized health-care access and social services since her February 2026 nomination and April campaign kickoff, drawing support from PQ leader Paul St-Pierre-Plamondon. Guy Veillette of the Coalition Avenir Québec trails as the challenger in a seat the CAQ has held since 2018, with the incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif not seeking re-election. Recent riding projections from models such as 338Canada show the PQ ahead, though the race remains competitive with vote shares clustered in the low 30s for the top two parties and significant undecided or third-party support. The October 5, 2026, general election date sets the resolution timeline, with local issues like regional services likely influencing final turnout.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,316
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Élodie Murphy-Gauthier" sa 65%, sinusundan ng "Guy Veillette" sa 34%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 65¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 65% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 31, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay "Élodie Murphy-Gauthier" sa 65%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 65% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Guy Veillette" sa 34%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.