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icon for Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Politika·Halalan Sa US

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

icon for Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?
Politika·Halalan Sa US

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

Under 45 36%

45-54 29%

55-64 17%

75-84 8%

Polymarket
BAGO

Under 45 36%

45-54 29%

55-64 17%

75-84 8%

Polymarket
BAGO

Under 45

$1,024 Vol.

43%

45-54

$755 Vol.

29%

55-64

$247 Vol.

20%

65-74

$144 Vol.

10%

75-84

$135 Vol.

8%

85+

$148 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic nominee's age reflects a wide-open primary featuring multiple younger contenders such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Sen. Jon Ossoff, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg alongside established figures including Gov. Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. Early national polls and prediction markets show no dominant frontrunner, with support fragmented across age cohorts and strong emphasis on generational change following the party's 2024 results. The near-even pricing between the under-45 and 45-54 brackets captures uncertainty over which candidates will gain traction after the 2026 midterms, secure early-state endorsements, or demonstrate fundraising strength. Shifts in polling averages, midterm outcomes, or formal declarations by governors and senators could quickly separate the age brackets by clarifying the field's composition and voter preference for experience versus renewal.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$2,452
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice. Trader consensus on the 2028 Democratic nominee's age reflects a wide-open primary featuring multiple younger contenders such as Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Sen. Jon Ossoff, and former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg alongside established figures including Gov. Gavin Newsom and former Vice President Kamala Harris. Early national polls and prediction markets show no dominant frontrunner, with support fragmented across age cohorts and strong emphasis on generational change following the party's 2024 results. The near-even pricing between the under-45 and 45-54 brackets captures uncertainty over which candidates will gain traction after the 2026 midterms, secure early-state endorsements, or demonstrate fundraising strength. Shifts in polling averages, midterm outcomes, or formal declarations by governors and senators could quickly separate the age brackets by clarifying the field's composition and voter preference for experience versus renewal.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.

The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth.

In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.

This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
Volume
$2,452
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 31, 2028
Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 12:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Kaugnay

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Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2028?

90%
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Mag-aanunsyo ba si Gavin Newsom ng pagtakbo sa pagkapangulo bago mag-2027?

13%
Oo
icon for Mananalo ba ang mga Demokratiko sa 2028 US Presidential Election?

Mananalo ba ang mga Demokratiko sa 2028 US Presidential Election?

65%
Oo

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Under 45" sa 43%, sinusundan ng "45-54" sa 29%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 43¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Sep 15, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" ay "Under 45" sa 43%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 43% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "45-54" sa 29%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.