The Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus uses a mixed-member proportional system with a 130-seat minimum that expands through overhang from direct constituency wins and leveling seats to maintain proportionality. Multiple parties clearing the 5% threshold—projected for Linke, CDU, AfD, Greens, SPD, and possibly BSW—drives additional leveling mandates, while the CDU’s historical strength in the 78 constituencies generates overhang. Recent polling showed a fragmented field with Linke leading and six parties competitive ahead of the September 20 vote, building on the chamber’s growth from 147 seats in 2021 to 159 in 2023. Trader consensus favors 158–162 seats as the most likely outcome under these conditions, with higher totals possible only if even more parties qualify or direct-mandate imbalances widen further.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update163+ 29%
<143 5.2%
153–157 3.3%
143–147 <1%
$26,023 Vol.
$26,023 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<143
5%
143–147
<1%
148–152
<1%
153–157
3%
158–162
55%
163+
15%
163+ 29%
<143 5.2%
153–157 3.3%
143–147 <1%
$26,023 Vol.
$26,023 Vol.
Sep 20, 2026
<143
$4,364 Vol.
5%
143–147
$2,466 Vol.
<1%
148–152
$1,136 Vol.
<1%
153–157
$1,580 Vol.
3%
158–162
$3,012 Vol.
55%
163+
$13,465 Vol.
15%
Elections to the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin (Berlin House of Representatives) are scheduled to be held on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus uses a mixed-member proportional system with a 130-seat minimum that expands through overhang from direct constituency wins and leveling seats to maintain proportionality. Multiple parties clearing the 5% threshold—projected for Linke, CDU, AfD, Greens, SPD, and possibly BSW—drives additional leveling mandates, while the CDU’s historical strength in the 78 constituencies generates overhang. Recent polling showed a fragmented field with Linke leading and six parties competitive ahead of the September 20 vote, building on the chamber’s growth from 147 seats in 2021 to 159 in 2023. Trader consensus favors 158–162 seats as the most likely outcome under these conditions, with higher totals possible only if even more parties qualify or direct-mandate imbalances widen further.
Elections to the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin (Berlin House of Representatives) are scheduled to be held on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
Volume
$26,023Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections to the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin (Berlin House of Representatives) are scheduled to be held on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus uses a mixed-member proportional system with a 130-seat minimum that expands through overhang from direct constituency wins and leveling seats to maintain proportionality. Multiple parties clearing the 5% threshold—projected for Linke, CDU, AfD, Greens, SPD, and possibly BSW—drives additional leveling mandates, while the CDU’s historical strength in the 78 constituencies generates overhang. Recent polling showed a fragmented field with Linke leading and six parties competitive ahead of the September 20 vote, building on the chamber’s growth from 147 seats in 2021 to 159 in 2023. Trader consensus favors 158–162 seats as the most likely outcome under these conditions, with higher totals possible only if even more parties qualify or direct-mandate imbalances widen further.
Elections to the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin (Berlin House of Representatives) are scheduled to be held on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election, including any overhang seats (Überhangmandate) and compensatory seats (Ausgleichsmandate).
The Abgeordnetenhaus has a statutory minimum of 130 seats, of which 78 are elected in single-member constituencies and the remainder allocated from party lists. Where a party wins more constituency seats than its share of valid second votes entitles it to, it retains those seats as overhang seats and other parties in the Abgeordnetenhaus receive compensatory seats, increasing the total size of the chamber.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats allocated in the official final results. Seats subsequently vacated, or changes arising from members leaving or changing party, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results published by the Berlin State Returning Officer (Landeswahlleiterin für Berlin, https://www.wahlen-berlin.de/). However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,023Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 20, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 6:48 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Berlin Abgeordnetenhaus uses a mixed-member proportional system with a 130-seat minimum that expands through overhang from direct constituency wins and leveling seats to maintain proportionality. Multiple parties clearing the 5% threshold—projected for Linke, CDU, AfD, Greens, SPD, and possibly BSW—drives additional leveling mandates, while the CDU’s historical strength in the 78 constituencies generates overhang. Recent polling showed a fragmented field with Linke leading and six parties competitive ahead of the September 20 vote, building on the chamber’s growth from 147 seats in 2021 to 159 in 2023. Trader consensus favors 158–162 seats as the most likely outcome under these conditions, with higher totals possible only if even more parties qualify or direct-mandate imbalances widen further.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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