Official preliminary results from Russia's Central Election Commission placed turnout at 56.66% after three days of voting concluded on September 20, 2026, exceeding the 2021 benchmark of roughly 52%. Multi-day balloting combined with expanded remote electronic voting across dozens of regions and high overseas participation, including record levels in Moscow, have supported the market's heaviest weighting on the 59-62% band. Earlier Kremlin adjustments lowered internal turnout targets amid wartime conditions, while Ukrainian drone strikes during the vote and restrictions on certain opposition lists introduced variables around final certified figures. Traders appear to weigh these mobilization mechanisms against historical patterns and verification uncertainties in assigning the current consensus probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
59-62% 66.6%
56-59% 31.6%
62%+ 2.1%
50-53% 1.0%
$1,112,991 Vol.
$1,112,991 Vol.
<47%
<1%
47-50%
1%
50-53%
1%
53-56%
1%
56-59%
32%
59-62%
67%
62%+
2%
59-62% 66.6%
56-59% 31.6%
62%+ 2.1%
50-53% 1.0%
$1,112,991 Vol.
$1,112,991 Vol.
<47%
<1%
47-50%
1%
50-53%
1%
53-56%
1%
56-59%
32%
59-62%
67%
62%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official preliminary results from Russia's Central Election Commission placed turnout at 56.66% after three days of voting concluded on September 20, 2026, exceeding the 2021 benchmark of roughly 52%. Multi-day balloting combined with expanded remote electronic voting across dozens of regions and high overseas participation, including record levels in Moscow, have supported the market's heaviest weighting on the 59-62% band. Earlier Kremlin adjustments lowered internal turnout targets amid wartime conditions, while Ukrainian drone strikes during the vote and restrictions on certain opposition lists introduced variables around final certified figures. Traders appear to weigh these mobilization mechanisms against historical patterns and verification uncertainties in assigning the current consensus probabilities.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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