Recent local election results and national polling trends in urban areas have lifted the Green Party's projected vote share in Holborn and St Pancras into the upper 20s to mid-30s, driven by gains under leader Zack Polanski, who is standing as the party's candidate in the October 8 by-election. Labour retains a structural edge from its prior dominance and stronger organizational resources in the constituency, while other parties fragment the remaining vote. These offsetting factors produce tight market pricing across the 25-40% bands, with limited separation until clearer signals emerge from final-week campaigning, turnout patterns, or any late shifts in national sentiment under the current government.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update35-40% 34%
30-35% 27%
25-30% 24%
<20% 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 8, 2026
<20%
14%
20-25%
5%
25-30%
24%
30-35%
27%
35-40%
34%
40%+
6%
35-40% 34%
30-35% 27%
25-30% 24%
<20% 14%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 8, 2026
<20%
$629 Vol.
14%
20-25%
$395 Vol.
5%
25-30%
$554 Vol.
24%
30-35%
$438 Vol.
27%
35-40%
$759 Vol.
34%
40%+
$314 Vol.
6%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Recent local election results and national polling trends in urban areas have lifted the Green Party's projected vote share in Holborn and St Pancras into the upper 20s to mid-30s, driven by gains under leader Zack Polanski, who is standing as the party's candidate in the October 8 by-election. Labour retains a structural edge from its prior dominance and stronger organizational resources in the constituency, while other parties fragment the remaining vote. These offsetting factors produce tight market pricing across the 25-40% bands, with limited separation until clearer signals emerge from final-week campaigning, turnout patterns, or any late shifts in national sentiment under the current government.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$3,089Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Recent local election results and national polling trends in urban areas have lifted the Green Party's projected vote share in Holborn and St Pancras into the upper 20s to mid-30s, driven by gains under leader Zack Polanski, who is standing as the party's candidate in the October 8 by-election. Labour retains a structural edge from its prior dominance and stronger organizational resources in the constituency, while other parties fragment the remaining vote. These offsetting factors produce tight market pricing across the 25-40% bands, with limited separation until clearer signals emerge from final-week campaigning, turnout patterns, or any late shifts in national sentiment under the current government.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$3,089Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 8, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent local election results and national polling trends in urban areas have lifted the Green Party's projected vote share in Holborn and St Pancras into the upper 20s to mid-30s, driven by gains under leader Zack Polanski, who is standing as the party's candidate in the October 8 by-election. Labour retains a structural edge from its prior dominance and stronger organizational resources in the constituency, while other parties fragment the remaining vote. These offsetting factors produce tight market pricing across the 25-40% bands, with limited separation until clearer signals emerge from final-week campaigning, turnout patterns, or any late shifts in national sentiment under the current government.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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