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icon for Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canada

Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Canada

Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Andrés Fontecilla 63%

Randy Legault-Rankin 20%

Emil Parfyonov 3.1%

Derek Lefebvre <1%

Polymarket
BAGO

Andrés Fontecilla 63%

Randy Legault-Rankin 20%

Emil Parfyonov 3.1%

Derek Lefebvre <1%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Andrés Fontecilla

Andrés Fontecilla

$801 Vol.

63%

icon for Randy Legault-Rankin

Randy Legault-Rankin

$1,300 Vol.

20%

icon for Emil Parfyonov

Emil Parfyonov

$338 Vol.

3%

icon for Derek Lefebvre

Derek Lefebvre

$590 Vol.

1%

icon for Kelly Lazo de la Vega

Kelly Lazo de la Vega

$827 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the Laurier-Dorion seat ahead of the October 5 vote, reflecting his incumbency since 2018 and the riding’s status as a QS stronghold in Montreal’s Villeray and Park Extension neighborhoods. Recent polling aggregates place QS and the Parti libéral du Québec candidates within a few points of each other locally, consistent with a broader provincial campaign where both parties compete for similar voter blocs. Nomination filings closed September 17 with limited challengers from the Parti québécois, Coalition avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec, none of whom have registered significant movement in available surveys. The tight contest hinges on turnout among progressive and immigrant communities and any late provincial momentum shifts that could separate the top two contenders.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,855
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Andrés Fontecilla of Québec solidaire holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the Laurier-Dorion seat ahead of the October 5 vote, reflecting his incumbency since 2018 and the riding’s status as a QS stronghold in Montreal’s Villeray and Park Extension neighborhoods. Recent polling aggregates place QS and the Parti libéral du Québec candidates within a few points of each other locally, consistent with a broader provincial campaign where both parties compete for similar voter blocs. Nomination filings closed September 17 with limited challengers from the Parti québécois, Coalition avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec, none of whom have registered significant movement in available surveys. The tight contest hinges on turnout among progressive and immigrant communities and any late provincial momentum shifts that could separate the top two contenders.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$3,855
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Andrés Fontecilla" sa 63%, sinusundan ng "Randy Legault-Rankin" sa 20%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 63¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 63% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 31, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay "Andrés Fontecilla" sa 63%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 63% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Randy Legault-Rankin" sa 20%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.