Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly sunny conditions with light variable winds across London on September 22, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact thresholds. Current runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity through the period, keeping temperatures above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20 °C. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction creates the observed distribution across 23–25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting the low chance of unexpected cooling or brief convective enhancement. Updated guidance later today will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in London on September 22?
Highest temperature in London on September 22?
24°C 43%
25°C 27%
23°C 22%
22°C 8%
BAGO
$11,498 Vol.
BAGO
$11,498 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
8%
23°C
22%
24°C
43%
25°C
27%
26°C or higher
5%
24°C 43%
25°C 27%
23°C 22%
22°C 8%
BAGO
$11,498 Vol.
BAGO
$11,498 Vol.
Sep 22, 2026
16°C or below
$86 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$83 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$185 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,517 Vol.
8%
23°C
$2,713 Vol.
22%
24°C
$1,616 Vol.
43%
25°C
$3,045 Vol.
27%
26°C or higher
$1,671 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly sunny conditions with light variable winds across London on September 22, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact thresholds. Current runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity through the period, keeping temperatures above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20 °C. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction creates the observed distribution across 23–25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting the low chance of unexpected cooling or brief convective enhancement. Updated guidance later today will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$11,498Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly sunny conditions with light variable winds across London on September 22, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact thresholds. Current runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity through the period, keeping temperatures above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20 °C. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction creates the observed distribution across 23–25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting the low chance of unexpected cooling or brief convective enhancement. Updated guidance later today will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$11,498Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 22, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance points to a stable high-pressure regime delivering mostly sunny conditions with light variable winds across London on September 22, supporting a daytime maximum near 24–25 °C. This aligns with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact thresholds. Current runs show minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal activity through the period, keeping temperatures above the late-September climatological average of roughly 20 °C. Slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind direction creates the observed distribution across 23–25 °C outcomes, with lower probabilities for outliers reflecting the low chance of unexpected cooling or brief convective enhancement. Updated guidance later today will refine the final observed maximum used for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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