Trump's strong position in this market stems from the absence of any confirmed political, legal, or personal developments that would prompt resignation before the end of 2026. He has publicly discussed completing his term, acknowledged constitutional limits on further runs, and received official medical assessments describing his health as excellent, with no active congressional moves toward impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Historical patterns show sitting presidents rarely resign absent acute crises, aligning with the current trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% probability on "No." Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid health decline requiring medical intervention, sustained midterm losses in November 2026 triggering internal party pressure, or major legal developments exposing the president to heightened removal risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
4% โอกาส
$538,774 ปริมาณ
$538,774 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
4% โอกาส
$538,774 ปริมาณ
$538,774 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's strong position in this market stems from the absence of any confirmed political, legal, or personal developments that would prompt resignation before the end of 2026. He has publicly discussed completing his term, acknowledged constitutional limits on further runs, and received official medical assessments describing his health as excellent, with no active congressional moves toward impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Historical patterns show sitting presidents rarely resign absent acute crises, aligning with the current trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% probability on "No." Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid health decline requiring medical intervention, sustained midterm losses in November 2026 triggering internal party pressure, or major legal developments exposing the president to heightened removal risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$538,774วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's strong position in this market stems from the absence of any confirmed political, legal, or personal developments that would prompt resignation before the end of 2026. He has publicly discussed completing his term, acknowledged constitutional limits on further runs, and received official medical assessments describing his health as excellent, with no active congressional moves toward impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Historical patterns show sitting presidents rarely resign absent acute crises, aligning with the current trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% probability on "No." Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid health decline requiring medical intervention, sustained midterm losses in November 2026 triggering internal party pressure, or major legal developments exposing the president to heightened removal risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$538,774วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x157Ce2d67...Trump's strong position in this market stems from the absence of any confirmed political, legal, or personal developments that would prompt resignation before the end of 2026. He has publicly discussed completing his term, acknowledged constitutional limits on further runs, and received official medical assessments describing his health as excellent, with no active congressional moves toward impeachment or invocation of the 25th Amendment. Historical patterns show sitting presidents rarely resign absent acute crises, aligning with the current trader consensus reflected in the 96.5% probability on "No." Realistic scenarios that could still shift odds include rapid health decline requiring medical intervention, sustained midterm losses in November 2026 triggering internal party pressure, or major legal developments exposing the president to heightened removal risks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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