Anthropic holds an 87.8% implied probability on the LiveBench coding market through end-September 2026 because its latest Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants have posted the strongest scores on recent dynamic coding tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.x and o-series models that lead overall benchmarks but trail in pure code generation and completion. Traders view the current leaderboard gap and limited remaining window as decisive, with OpenAI at just 10.9% reflecting weaker recent coding-specific results. Other labs remain near zero as their submissions lag established frontier entries. Any final pre-month-end model update could still alter the snapshot, but present verified performance anchors the market consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 87.7%
OpenAI 11.0%
SpaceXAI <1%
Meta <1%
$62,167 ปริมาณ
$62,167 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
88%
OpenAI
11%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
<1%
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 87.7%
OpenAI 11.0%
SpaceXAI <1%
Meta <1%
$62,167 ปริมาณ
$62,167 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$21,896 ปริมาณ
88%
OpenAI
$20,318 ปริมาณ
11%
SpaceXAI
$3,123 ปริมาณ
1%
Meta
$3,162 ปริมาณ
<1%
$378 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alibaba
$777 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$791 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$517 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$1,144 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xiaomi
$838 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$810 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$860 ปริมาณ
<1%
ByteDance
$886 ปริมาณ
<1%
Nvidia
$1,293 ปริมาณ
<1%
Thinky
$811 ปริมาณ
<1%
MiniMax
$912 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$428 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$1,096 ปริมาณ
<1%
Tencent
$937 ปริมาณ
<1%
StepFun
$839 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$348 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds an 87.8% implied probability on the LiveBench coding market through end-September 2026 because its latest Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants have posted the strongest scores on recent dynamic coding tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.x and o-series models that lead overall benchmarks but trail in pure code generation and completion. Traders view the current leaderboard gap and limited remaining window as decisive, with OpenAI at just 10.9% reflecting weaker recent coding-specific results. Other labs remain near zero as their submissions lag established frontier entries. Any final pre-month-end model update could still alter the snapshot, but present verified performance anchors the market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,167วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Codingผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic holds an 87.8% implied probability on the LiveBench coding market through end-September 2026 because its latest Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants have posted the strongest scores on recent dynamic coding tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.x and o-series models that lead overall benchmarks but trail in pure code generation and completion. Traders view the current leaderboard gap and limited remaining window as decisive, with OpenAI at just 10.9% reflecting weaker recent coding-specific results. Other labs remain near zero as their submissions lag established frontier entries. Any final pre-month-end model update could still alter the snapshot, but present verified performance anchors the market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$62,167วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 6:17 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Codingผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds an 87.8% implied probability on the LiveBench coding market through end-September 2026 because its latest Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants have posted the strongest scores on recent dynamic coding tasks, outpacing OpenAI's GPT-5.x and o-series models that lead overall benchmarks but trail in pure code generation and completion. Traders view the current leaderboard gap and limited remaining window as decisive, with OpenAI at just 10.9% reflecting weaker recent coding-specific results. Other labs remain near zero as their submissions lag established frontier entries. Any final pre-month-end model update could still alter the snapshot, but present verified performance anchors the market consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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