Anthropic holds the strongest position in the Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants posting the highest scores through superior chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and performance on competition-style problems. This underpins its 47% market-implied odds, ahead of OpenAI and Google at roughly 17% each. Traders see a fragmented field where Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba models deliver competitive results in open-weight categories, while rapid iteration from Chinese labs and potential new GPT-5 or Gemini releases could alter rankings before the November 30 resolution. The close spread across many labs reflects uncertainty over which frontier model will top the dynamic human-preference math evaluations by deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 39.6%
Google 20%
OpenAI 18%
Z.ai 7.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
40%
24%
OpenAI
18%
Z.ai
7%
Nvidia
4%
Meituan
4%
Moonshot
2%
Alibaba
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Microsoft
1%
Baidu
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meta
1%
MiniMax
1%
Amazon
1%
Mistral
1%
Tencent
1%
StepFun
1%
Thinky
1%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
9%
Anthropic 39.6%
Google 20%
OpenAI 18%
Z.ai 7.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$2,520 ปริมาณ
40%
$1,240 ปริมาณ
24%
OpenAI
$1,112 ปริมาณ
18%
Z.ai
$173 ปริมาณ
7%
Nvidia
$479 ปริมาณ
4%
Meituan
$1,346 ปริมาณ
4%
Moonshot
$115 ปริมาณ
2%
Alibaba
$100 ปริมาณ
1%
SpaceXAI
$121 ปริมาณ
1%
Microsoft
$129 ปริมาณ
1%
Baidu
$133 ปริมาณ
1%
Xiaomi
$133 ปริมาณ
1%
Meta
$133 ปริมาณ
1%
MiniMax
$133 ปริมาณ
1%
Amazon
$148 ปริมาณ
1%
Mistral
$165 ปริมาณ
1%
Tencent
$120 ปริมาณ
1%
StepFun
$133 ปริมาณ
1%
Thinky
$133 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$133 ปริมาณ
1%
ByteDance
$379 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest position in the Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants posting the highest scores through superior chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and performance on competition-style problems. This underpins its 47% market-implied odds, ahead of OpenAI and Google at roughly 17% each. Traders see a fragmented field where Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba models deliver competitive results in open-weight categories, while rapid iteration from Chinese labs and potential new GPT-5 or Gemini releases could alter rankings before the November 30 resolution. The close spread across many labs reflects uncertainty over which frontier model will top the dynamic human-preference math evaluations by deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,077วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic holds the strongest position in the Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants posting the highest scores through superior chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and performance on competition-style problems. This underpins its 47% market-implied odds, ahead of OpenAI and Google at roughly 17% each. Traders see a fragmented field where Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba models deliver competitive results in open-weight categories, while rapid iteration from Chinese labs and potential new GPT-5 or Gemini releases could alter rankings before the November 30 resolution. The close spread across many labs reflects uncertainty over which frontier model will top the dynamic human-preference math evaluations by deadline.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,077วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:05 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic holds the strongest position in the Text Arena Math leaderboard as of mid-September 2026, with Claude Opus 5 and Fable 5 variants posting the highest scores through superior chain-of-thought reasoning, tool integration, and performance on competition-style problems. This underpins its 47% market-implied odds, ahead of OpenAI and Google at roughly 17% each. Traders see a fragmented field where Z.ai, Moonshot, and Alibaba models deliver competitive results in open-weight categories, while rapid iteration from Chinese labs and potential new GPT-5 or Gemini releases could alter rankings before the November 30 resolution. The close spread across many labs reflects uncertainty over which frontier model will top the dynamic human-preference math evaluations by deadline.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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