Stefany Shaheen holds an 89.2% implied probability in the NH-01 general election market due to her narrow Democratic primary victory on September 8, 2026, strong name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, and establishment endorsements in an open seat previously held by Rep. Chris Pappas. The district has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classifying it as likely or lean Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Anthony DiLorenzo, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee who won his primary with over 50% support, benefits from business background and party resources but trails significantly in trader assessments reflecting the seat’s structural and recent electoral trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$10,305 ปริมาณ
$10,305 ปริมาณ
Stefany Shaheen (D)
89%
Anthony DiLorenzo (R)
12%
$10,305 ปริมาณ
$10,305 ปริมาณ
Stefany Shaheen (D)
89%
Anthony DiLorenzo (R)
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Stefany Shaheen holds an 89.2% implied probability in the NH-01 general election market due to her narrow Democratic primary victory on September 8, 2026, strong name recognition as the daughter of retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, and establishment endorsements in an open seat previously held by Rep. Chris Pappas. The district has leaned Democratic in recent cycles, with ratings from outlets like the Cook Political Report classifying it as likely or lean Democratic ahead of the November 3 vote. Anthony DiLorenzo, the Trump-endorsed Republican nominee who won his primary with over 50% support, benefits from business background and party resources but trails significantly in trader assessments reflecting the seat’s structural and recent electoral trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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