Recent polling from Quaest in late August and Real Time Big Data in early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall Senate intentions in Roraima at 19-25%, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and others trailing. The two-seat contest, where voters select up to two names, combined with high undecided rates near 67% in spontaneous responses and a margin of error of 2-3 points, keeps the second-place outcome tightly contested among the top four. Small shifts in turnout, vote splitting within parties, or consolidation of remaining undecided voters could reorder the finishers ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow gap, with implied probabilities clustered among the leading contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNicoletti 44.4%
Teresa Surita 27%
Helena da Asatur 8.8%
Chico Rodrigues 5.9%
$68,640 ปริมาณ
$68,640 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
47%
Teresa Surita
27%
Helena da Asatur
9%
Chico Rodrigues
6%
Helio Bolsonaro
5%
Mario Rocha
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
<1%
Hilton Xavier
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
<1%
Pastor Isamar
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
<1%
Rogério Miranda
<1%
Nicoletti 44.4%
Teresa Surita 27%
Helena da Asatur 8.8%
Chico Rodrigues 5.9%
$68,640 ปริมาณ
$68,640 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Nicoletti
$12,202 ปริมาณ
47%
Teresa Surita
$21,897 ปริมาณ
27%
Helena da Asatur
$4,859 ปริมาณ
9%
Chico Rodrigues
$14,896 ปริมาณ
6%
Helio Bolsonaro
$9,174 ปริมาณ
5%
Mario Rocha
$834 ปริมาณ
<1%
Bartô Macuxi
$581 ปริมาณ
<1%
Hilton Xavier
$529 ปริมาณ
<1%
Hiperion de Oliveira
$569 ปริมาณ
<1%
Márcio Junqueira
$676 ปริมาณ
<1%
Pastor Isamar
$952 ปริมาณ
<1%
Regina Tio Ivo
$887 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rogério Miranda
$583 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest in late August and Real Time Big Data in early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall Senate intentions in Roraima at 19-25%, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and others trailing. The two-seat contest, where voters select up to two names, combined with high undecided rates near 67% in spontaneous responses and a margin of error of 2-3 points, keeps the second-place outcome tightly contested among the top four. Small shifts in turnout, vote splitting within parties, or consolidation of remaining undecided voters could reorder the finishers ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow gap, with implied probabilities clustered among the leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,640วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from Quaest in late August and Real Time Big Data in early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall Senate intentions in Roraima at 19-25%, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and others trailing. The two-seat contest, where voters select up to two names, combined with high undecided rates near 67% in spontaneous responses and a margin of error of 2-3 points, keeps the second-place outcome tightly contested among the top four. Small shifts in turnout, vote splitting within parties, or consolidation of remaining undecided voters could reorder the finishers ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow gap, with implied probabilities clustered among the leading contenders.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Roraima is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,640วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Quaest in late August and Real Time Big Data in early September shows Teresa Surita (MDB) leading overall Senate intentions in Roraima at 19-25%, followed closely by Nicoletti (PL) at 17%, Helena da Asatur (PSD) at 15-16%, and Chico Rodrigues (PSB) at 11-16%, with Helio Bolsonaro (PL) and others trailing. The two-seat contest, where voters select up to two names, combined with high undecided rates near 67% in spontaneous responses and a margin of error of 2-3 points, keeps the second-place outcome tightly contested among the top four. Small shifts in turnout, vote splitting within parties, or consolidation of remaining undecided voters could reorder the finishers ahead of the October 4 election. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects this narrow gap, with implied probabilities clustered among the leading contenders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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