Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election, consistent with the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and the district’s R+4 Partisan Voter Index. LaLota secured the Republican and Conservative nominations without opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3 million. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a National Guard helicopter pilot and former air traffic controller, won his June primary decisively but enters as a political newcomer in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Both candidates reside just outside district boundaries, an arrangement that has drawn little campaign focus. Nonpartisan handicappers continue to view the seat as safely Republican, aligning with current market pricing that reflects incumbency, resource disparities, and underlying voter composition.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-01 House Election Winner
NY-01 House Election Winner
$42,372 ปริมาณ
$42,372 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
72%
Chris Gallant (D)
27%
$42,372 ปริมาณ
$42,372 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Nick LaLota (R)
$16,306 ปริมาณ
72%
Chris Gallant (D)
$26,065 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election, consistent with the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and the district’s R+4 Partisan Voter Index. LaLota secured the Republican and Conservative nominations without opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3 million. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a National Guard helicopter pilot and former air traffic controller, won his June primary decisively but enters as a political newcomer in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Both candidates reside just outside district boundaries, an arrangement that has drawn little campaign focus. Nonpartisan handicappers continue to view the seat as safely Republican, aligning with current market pricing that reflects incumbency, resource disparities, and underlying voter composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,372วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election, consistent with the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and the district’s R+4 Partisan Voter Index. LaLota secured the Republican and Conservative nominations without opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3 million. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a National Guard helicopter pilot and former air traffic controller, won his June primary decisively but enters as a political newcomer in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Both candidates reside just outside district boundaries, an arrangement that has drawn little campaign focus. Nonpartisan handicappers continue to view the seat as safely Republican, aligning with current market pricing that reflects incumbency, resource disparities, and underlying voter composition.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,372วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota holds a clear edge in New York’s 1st Congressional District heading into the November general election, consistent with the Cook Political Report’s Solid Republican rating and the district’s R+4 Partisan Voter Index. LaLota secured the Republican and Conservative nominations without opposition and maintains a substantial fundraising lead exceeding $3 million. Democratic nominee Chris Gallant, a National Guard helicopter pilot and former air traffic controller, won his June primary decisively but enters as a political newcomer in a district that has favored Republicans in recent cycles. Both candidates reside just outside district boundaries, an arrangement that has drawn little campaign focus. Nonpartisan handicappers continue to view the seat as safely Republican, aligning with current market pricing that reflects incumbency, resource disparities, and underlying voter composition.
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