Troy Downing holds a commanding lead in the MT-02 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, his incumbency following a 2024 victory with roughly 66 percent of the vote, and an uncontested June 2026 primary. Multiple forecasters rate the eastern Montana seat, encompassing areas like Billings, Great Falls, and Helena, as solidly Republican. Downing's substantial fundraising advantage and the absence of competitive general-election polling reinforce trader consensus around his position. Brian Miller secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district with consistent Republican voting patterns. Late developments such as national midterm shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate events could narrow margins, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMT-02 House Election Winner
MT-02 House Election Winner
$45,343 ปริมาณ
$45,343 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Troy Downing (R)
95%
Brian Miller (D)
5%
$45,343 ปริมาณ
$45,343 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Troy Downing (R)
$26,444 ปริมาณ
95%
Brian Miller (D)
$18,899 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Downing holds a commanding lead in the MT-02 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, his incumbency following a 2024 victory with roughly 66 percent of the vote, and an uncontested June 2026 primary. Multiple forecasters rate the eastern Montana seat, encompassing areas like Billings, Great Falls, and Helena, as solidly Republican. Downing's substantial fundraising advantage and the absence of competitive general-election polling reinforce trader consensus around his position. Brian Miller secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district with consistent Republican voting patterns. Late developments such as national midterm shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate events could narrow margins, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,343วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Troy Downing holds a commanding lead in the MT-02 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, his incumbency following a 2024 victory with roughly 66 percent of the vote, and an uncontested June 2026 primary. Multiple forecasters rate the eastern Montana seat, encompassing areas like Billings, Great Falls, and Helena, as solidly Republican. Downing's substantial fundraising advantage and the absence of competitive general-election polling reinforce trader consensus around his position. Brian Miller secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district with consistent Republican voting patterns. Late developments such as national midterm shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate events could narrow margins, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,343วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Troy Downing holds a commanding lead in the MT-02 House race due to the district's established Republican lean, his incumbency following a 2024 victory with roughly 66 percent of the vote, and an uncontested June 2026 primary. Multiple forecasters rate the eastern Montana seat, encompassing areas like Billings, Great Falls, and Helena, as solidly Republican. Downing's substantial fundraising advantage and the absence of competitive general-election polling reinforce trader consensus around his position. Brian Miller secured the Democratic nomination but faces structural headwinds in a district with consistent Republican voting patterns. Late developments such as national midterm shifts, turnout surges, or unforeseen candidate events could narrow margins, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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