Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Madrid’s September 24 minimum will likely fall between 16–20 °C under clear, dry conditions and light northeasterly winds that favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling. High pressure and minimal cloud cover have kept daytime highs near 33–34 °C while allowing overnight temperatures to drop efficiently from the recent warm spell. Trader consensus heavily favors 16 °C or below at 69 % implied probability because any slight increase in humidity or wind would still leave the low in the upper teens, while the 26 °C or higher bin at 44.5 % reflects low odds of unusually poor cooling. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for shifts in these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 24?
26°C or higher 90%
16°C or below 70%
20°C 36%
21°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
16°C or below
70%
17°C
35%
18°C
35%
19°C
35%
20°C
36%
21°C
36%
22°C
36%
23°C
36%
24°C
36%
25°C
36%
26°C or higher
90%
26°C or higher 90%
16°C or below 70%
20°C 36%
21°C 36%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 24, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
70%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
36%
26°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Madrid’s September 24 minimum will likely fall between 16–20 °C under clear, dry conditions and light northeasterly winds that favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling. High pressure and minimal cloud cover have kept daytime highs near 33–34 °C while allowing overnight temperatures to drop efficiently from the recent warm spell. Trader consensus heavily favors 16 °C or below at 69 % implied probability because any slight increase in humidity or wind would still leave the low in the upper teens, while the 26 °C or higher bin at 44.5 % reflects low odds of unusually poor cooling. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Madrid’s September 24 minimum will likely fall between 16–20 °C under clear, dry conditions and light northeasterly winds that favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling. High pressure and minimal cloud cover have kept daytime highs near 33–34 °C while allowing overnight temperatures to drop efficiently from the recent warm spell. Trader consensus heavily favors 16 °C or below at 69 % implied probability because any slight increase in humidity or wind would still leave the low in the upper teens, while the 26 °C or higher bin at 44.5 % reflects low odds of unusually poor cooling. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for shifts in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models like GFS indicate Madrid’s September 24 minimum will likely fall between 16–20 °C under clear, dry conditions and light northeasterly winds that favor strong nocturnal radiative cooling. High pressure and minimal cloud cover have kept daytime highs near 33–34 °C while allowing overnight temperatures to drop efficiently from the recent warm spell. Trader consensus heavily favors 16 °C or below at 69 % implied probability because any slight increase in humidity or wind would still leave the low in the upper teens, while the 26 °C or higher bin at 44.5 % reflects low odds of unusually poor cooling. Updated model runs through the next 48 hours remain the key catalyst for shifts in these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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