**André Carson's long tenure as incumbent in Indiana's 7th congressional district underpins the current trader consensus.** The Indianapolis-based seat carries a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered Carson roughly 68% in the 2024 general election. He secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with 62% of the vote against several challengers, while Republican Patrick McAuley advanced easily in his primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Carson's established fundraising edge and the district's heavy Democratic registration and turnout patterns in Marion County have kept probabilities stable. McAuley's campaign has focused on local economic concerns such as rail jobs and affordability, but these have not altered the structural partisan imbalance. Realistic shifts would require late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district's baseline Democratic performance. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIN-07 House Election Winner
IN-07 House Election Winner
$45,726 ปริมาณ
$45,726 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
André Carson (D)
97%
Patrick McAuley (R)
1%
$45,726 ปริมาณ
$45,726 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
André Carson (D)
$7,947 ปริมาณ
97%
Patrick McAuley (R)
$37,779 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**André Carson's long tenure as incumbent in Indiana's 7th congressional district underpins the current trader consensus.** The Indianapolis-based seat carries a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered Carson roughly 68% in the 2024 general election. He secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with 62% of the vote against several challengers, while Republican Patrick McAuley advanced easily in his primary.
Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Carson's established fundraising edge and the district's heavy Democratic registration and turnout patterns in Marion County have kept probabilities stable. McAuley's campaign has focused on local economic concerns such as rail jobs and affordability, but these have not altered the structural partisan imbalance.
Realistic shifts would require late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district's baseline Democratic performance. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,726วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**André Carson's long tenure as incumbent in Indiana's 7th congressional district underpins the current trader consensus.** The Indianapolis-based seat carries a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered Carson roughly 68% in the 2024 general election. He secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with 62% of the vote against several challengers, while Republican Patrick McAuley advanced easily in his primary.
Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Carson's established fundraising edge and the district's heavy Democratic registration and turnout patterns in Marion County have kept probabilities stable. McAuley's campaign has focused on local economic concerns such as rail jobs and affordability, but these have not altered the structural partisan imbalance.
Realistic shifts would require late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district's baseline Democratic performance. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$45,726วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...**André Carson's long tenure as incumbent in Indiana's 7th congressional district underpins the current trader consensus.** The Indianapolis-based seat carries a D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and delivered Carson roughly 68% in the 2024 general election. He secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary with 62% of the vote against several challengers, while Republican Patrick McAuley advanced easily in his primary. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the race as Solid or Safe Democratic. Carson's established fundraising edge and the district's heavy Democratic registration and turnout patterns in Marion County have kept probabilities stable. McAuley's campaign has focused on local economic concerns such as rail jobs and affordability, but these have not altered the structural partisan imbalance. Realistic shifts would require late-cycle developments such as an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or national political realignment large enough to overcome the district's baseline Democratic performance. The November 3, 2026 general election remains the resolution trigger.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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