**Trader consensus clusters around Democrats winning 7-9 of Michigan’s 13 House seats because the state features a small number of genuinely competitive districts amid a broader national environment favoring Democratic gains.** Republicans currently hold seven seats to Democrats’ six after 2024. The most pivotal contests are the Republican-held 7th District, where early polling shows a near tie between GOP incumbent Tom Barrett and Democratic nominee Will Lawrence, and the open 10th District, recently rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report following primary results and fresh surveys. Democratic incumbent Kristen McDonald Rivet’s 8th District has strengthened into likely Democratic territory. With most other districts rated safe for their current holders, outcomes hinge on these swing races, candidate positioning after August primaries, and any shifts in the generic ballot or turnout patterns before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว8 34%
9 29%
7 19%
6 12%
$27,327 ปริมาณ
$27,327 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
<5
<1%
5
<1%
6
12%
7
19%
8
34%
9
29%
10+
3%
8 34%
9 29%
7 19%
6 12%
$27,327 ปริมาณ
$27,327 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
<5
$797 ปริมาณ
<1%
5
$1,091 ปริมาณ
<1%
6
$8,449 ปริมาณ
12%
7
$3,303 ปริมาณ
19%
8
$6,866 ปริมาณ
34%
9
$5,563 ปริมาณ
29%
10+
$1,259 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus clusters around Democrats winning 7-9 of Michigan’s 13 House seats because the state features a small number of genuinely competitive districts amid a broader national environment favoring Democratic gains.** Republicans currently hold seven seats to Democrats’ six after 2024. The most pivotal contests are the Republican-held 7th District, where early polling shows a near tie between GOP incumbent Tom Barrett and Democratic nominee Will Lawrence, and the open 10th District, recently rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report following primary results and fresh surveys. Democratic incumbent Kristen McDonald Rivet’s 8th District has strengthened into likely Democratic territory. With most other districts rated safe for their current holders, outcomes hinge on these swing races, candidate positioning after August primaries, and any shifts in the generic ballot or turnout patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,327วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.**Trader consensus clusters around Democrats winning 7-9 of Michigan’s 13 House seats because the state features a small number of genuinely competitive districts amid a broader national environment favoring Democratic gains.** Republicans currently hold seven seats to Democrats’ six after 2024. The most pivotal contests are the Republican-held 7th District, where early polling shows a near tie between GOP incumbent Tom Barrett and Democratic nominee Will Lawrence, and the open 10th District, recently rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report following primary results and fresh surveys. Democratic incumbent Kristen McDonald Rivet’s 8th District has strengthened into likely Democratic territory. With most other districts rated safe for their current holders, outcomes hinge on these swing races, candidate positioning after August primaries, and any shifts in the generic ballot or turnout patterns before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in Michigan in the 2026 United States midterm election.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
All Michigan US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included. Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election. Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
Members of the House elected as independents who formally caucus, or who announce their intent to caucus, with a party prior to the date of the 2026 United States midterm election are included in that party’s count. If the caucus decisions of relevant members of the US House of Representatives elected as independents cannot be determined as of the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$27,327วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 10:12 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters around Democrats winning 7-9 of Michigan’s 13 House seats because the state features a small number of genuinely competitive districts amid a broader national environment favoring Democratic gains.** Republicans currently hold seven seats to Democrats’ six after 2024. The most pivotal contests are the Republican-held 7th District, where early polling shows a near tie between GOP incumbent Tom Barrett and Democratic nominee Will Lawrence, and the open 10th District, recently rated a toss-up by the Cook Political Report following primary results and fresh surveys. Democratic incumbent Kristen McDonald Rivet’s 8th District has strengthened into likely Democratic territory. With most other districts rated safe for their current holders, outcomes hinge on these swing races, candidate positioning after August primaries, and any shifts in the generic ballot or turnout patterns before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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