Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven oil prices sharply higher, reviving inflation concerns and lifting 5-year Treasury yields to around 4.62% as of September 9. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated PCE projections and reduced forward guidance, have shifted trader expectations toward possible rate hikes at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point increase. Upcoming August PPI and CPI releases this week represent key near-term catalysts that could further influence the yield path through September.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
ใหม่
Sep 30, 2026
4.90%
13%
4.83%
20%
4.78%
29%
4.73%
38%
4.70%
48%
4.67%
56%
4.64%
69%
$8,696 ปริมาณ
4.90%
$533 ปริมาณ
13%
4.83%
$1,809 ปริมาณ
20%
4.78%
$1,165 ปริมาณ
29%
4.73%
$91 ปริมาณ
38%
4.70%
$881 ปริมาณ
48%
4.67%
$296 ปริมาณ
56%
4.64%
$1,137 ปริมาณ
69%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven oil prices sharply higher, reviving inflation concerns and lifting 5-year Treasury yields to around 4.62% as of September 9. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated PCE projections and reduced forward guidance, have shifted trader expectations toward possible rate hikes at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point increase. Upcoming August PPI and CPI releases this week represent key near-term catalysts that could further influence the yield path through September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,696วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven oil prices sharply higher, reviving inflation concerns and lifting 5-year Treasury yields to around 4.62% as of September 9. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated PCE projections and reduced forward guidance, have shifted trader expectations toward possible rate hikes at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point increase. Upcoming August PPI and CPI releases this week represent key near-term catalysts that could further influence the yield path through September.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,696วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 9:06 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven oil prices sharply higher, reviving inflation concerns and lifting 5-year Treasury yields to around 4.62% as of September 9. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, including elevated PCE projections and reduced forward guidance, have shifted trader expectations toward possible rate hikes at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, with futures pricing roughly 60% odds of a 25-basis-point increase. Upcoming August PPI and CPI releases this week represent key near-term catalysts that could further influence the yield path through September.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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