The overwhelming trader consensus favoring "No" for a magnitude 10.0 or greater earthquake before 2027 stems from established geophysical limits on fault rupture and energy release. The largest instrumentally recorded events reached 9.5 in 1960 Chile and 9.2 in 1964 Alaska, constrained by the finite length and strength of subduction zones and other tectonic boundaries. USGS and global seismic networks show no recent activity approaching these thresholds, with current monitoring indicating typical maximums well below 9.0 in active regions. While a 10.0 remains theoretically possible in an extreme, unprecedented rupture scenario, the short remaining timeframe and absence of precursors make such an outcome highly improbable under present conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว10.0 หรือสูงกว่าแผ่นดินไหวก่อนปี 2027?
10.0 หรือสูงกว่าแผ่นดินไหวก่อนปี 2027?
1% โอกาส
$816,634 ปริมาณ
$816,634 ปริมาณ
Jan 31, 2027
1% โอกาส
$816,634 ปริมาณ
$816,634 ปริมาณ
Jan 31, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The overwhelming trader consensus favoring "No" for a magnitude 10.0 or greater earthquake before 2027 stems from established geophysical limits on fault rupture and energy release. The largest instrumentally recorded events reached 9.5 in 1960 Chile and 9.2 in 1964 Alaska, constrained by the finite length and strength of subduction zones and other tectonic boundaries. USGS and global seismic networks show no recent activity approaching these thresholds, with current monitoring indicating typical maximums well below 9.0 in active regions. While a 10.0 remains theoretically possible in an extreme, unprecedented rupture scenario, the short remaining timeframe and absence of precursors make such an outcome highly improbable under present conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 8, 2025, 5:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$816,634วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 8, 2025, 5:29 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The overwhelming trader consensus favoring "No" for a magnitude 10.0 or greater earthquake before 2027 stems from established geophysical limits on fault rupture and energy release. The largest instrumentally recorded events reached 9.5 in 1960 Chile and 9.2 in 1964 Alaska, constrained by the finite length and strength of subduction zones and other tectonic boundaries. USGS and global seismic networks show no recent activity approaching these thresholds, with current monitoring indicating typical maximums well below 9.0 in active regions. While a 10.0 remains theoretically possible in an extreme, unprecedented rupture scenario, the short remaining timeframe and absence of precursors make such an outcome highly improbable under present conditions.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 10.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$816,634วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 8, 2025, 5:29 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...The overwhelming trader consensus favoring "No" for a magnitude 10.0 or greater earthquake before 2027 stems from established geophysical limits on fault rupture and energy release. The largest instrumentally recorded events reached 9.5 in 1960 Chile and 9.2 in 1964 Alaska, constrained by the finite length and strength of subduction zones and other tectonic boundaries. USGS and global seismic networks show no recent activity approaching these thresholds, with current monitoring indicating typical maximums well below 9.0 in active regions. While a 10.0 remains theoretically possible in an extreme, unprecedented rupture scenario, the short remaining timeframe and absence of precursors make such an outcome highly improbable under present conditions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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