President Trump's continued engagement in governance, midterm campaigning, and public discussion of post-presidency plans without any official signals of early departure underpins the 96.8% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent activities, including efforts to retain key officials through the November elections and policy rollouts, align with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary pressure. Speculation from opponents citing health concerns or electoral setbacks remains unverified by primary sources. Realistic factors that could still shift odds include sudden health developments, major scandals prompting institutional pushback, or unforeseen family circumstances within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
3% вероятность
$23,487 Объем
$23,487 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
3% вероятность
$23,487 Объем
$23,487 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's continued engagement in governance, midterm campaigning, and public discussion of post-presidency plans without any official signals of early departure underpins the 96.8% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent activities, including efforts to retain key officials through the November elections and policy rollouts, align with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary pressure. Speculation from opponents citing health concerns or electoral setbacks remains unverified by primary sources. Realistic factors that could still shift odds include sudden health developments, major scandals prompting institutional pushback, or unforeseen family circumstances within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Объем
$23,487Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's continued engagement in governance, midterm campaigning, and public discussion of post-presidency plans without any official signals of early departure underpins the 96.8% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent activities, including efforts to retain key officials through the November elections and policy rollouts, align with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary pressure. Speculation from opponents citing health concerns or electoral setbacks remains unverified by primary sources. Realistic factors that could still shift odds include sudden health developments, major scandals prompting institutional pushback, or unforeseen family circumstances within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$23,487Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...President Trump's continued engagement in governance, midterm campaigning, and public discussion of post-presidency plans without any official signals of early departure underpins the 96.8% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent activities, including efforts to retain key officials through the November elections and policy rollouts, align with historical patterns of incumbents completing terms absent extraordinary pressure. Speculation from opponents citing health concerns or electoral setbacks remains unverified by primary sources. Realistic factors that could still shift odds include sudden health developments, major scandals prompting institutional pushback, or unforeseen family circumstances within the resolution window.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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