President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of intending to resign before the end of 2026, with recent statements emphasizing legislative priorities, midterm campaigning, and post-presidency plans while acknowledging constitutional term limits. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent on “No” reflects the absence of active impeachment proceedings, sustained 25th Amendment discussions, or cabinet-level pressure as of September 2026, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent acute crises. Speculation from political opponents citing health concerns, the ongoing Iran conflict, or expected midterm results has not produced verifiable evidence of resignation plans. A sudden medical emergency, Senate conviction risk from new legal developments, or unprecedented party pressure following November elections could still alter probabilities, though no such triggers are currently underway.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$537,758 Объем
$537,758 Объем
Да
$537,758 Объем
$537,758 Объем
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x157Ce2d67...President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of intending to resign before the end of 2026, with recent statements emphasizing legislative priorities, midterm campaigning, and post-presidency plans while acknowledging constitutional term limits. Trader consensus at 96.5 percent on “No” reflects the absence of active impeachment proceedings, sustained 25th Amendment discussions, or cabinet-level pressure as of September 2026, consistent with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent acute crises. Speculation from political opponents citing health concerns, the ongoing Iran conflict, or expected midterm results has not produced verifiable evidence of resignation plans. A sudden medical emergency, Senate conviction risk from new legal developments, or unprecedented party pressure following November elections could still alter probabilities, though no such triggers are currently underway.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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