Israel's government has advanced de facto control over significant West Bank territory through settlement expansion, outpost legalization, land registration in Area C, and extended administrative authority into Areas A and B via measures approved in early 2026. These steps, including recent E1 tenders and new settlement approvals, consolidate facts on the ground without a formal sovereignty declaration. Prime Minister Netanyahu has sidelined explicit annexation proposals amid U.S. diplomatic pressure, coalition constraints, and the October 2026 elections, while attention remains on Gaza and regional security. Traders view these barriers, plus the distinction between incremental integration and official annexation, as decisive barriers to resolution in the "yes" direction before the 2027 deadline, though late legislative action or shifts in external conditions could still intervene.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБудет ли Израиль аннексировать территорию Западного берега до 2027 года?
Будет ли Израиль аннексировать территорию Западного берега до 2027 года?
Да
6% вероятность
$90,952 Объем
$90,952 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
6% вероятность
$90,952 Объем
$90,952 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has advanced de facto control over significant West Bank territory through settlement expansion, outpost legalization, land registration in Area C, and extended administrative authority into Areas A and B via measures approved in early 2026. These steps, including recent E1 tenders and new settlement approvals, consolidate facts on the ground without a formal sovereignty declaration. Prime Minister Netanyahu has sidelined explicit annexation proposals amid U.S. diplomatic pressure, coalition constraints, and the October 2026 elections, while attention remains on Gaza and regional security. Traders view these barriers, plus the distinction between incremental integration and official annexation, as decisive barriers to resolution in the "yes" direction before the 2027 deadline, though late legislative action or shifts in external conditions could still intervene.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
Объем
$90,952Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's government has advanced de facto control over significant West Bank territory through settlement expansion, outpost legalization, land registration in Area C, and extended administrative authority into Areas A and B via measures approved in early 2026. These steps, including recent E1 tenders and new settlement approvals, consolidate facts on the ground without a formal sovereignty declaration. Prime Minister Netanyahu has sidelined explicit annexation proposals amid U.S. diplomatic pressure, coalition constraints, and the October 2026 elections, while attention remains on Gaza and regional security. Traders view these barriers, plus the distinction between incremental integration and official annexation, as decisive barriers to resolution in the "yes" direction before the 2027 deadline, though late legislative action or shifts in external conditions could still intervene.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$90,952Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Israel's government has advanced de facto control over significant West Bank territory through settlement expansion, outpost legalization, land registration in Area C, and extended administrative authority into Areas A and B via measures approved in early 2026. These steps, including recent E1 tenders and new settlement approvals, consolidate facts on the ground without a formal sovereignty declaration. Prime Minister Netanyahu has sidelined explicit annexation proposals amid U.S. diplomatic pressure, coalition constraints, and the October 2026 elections, while attention remains on Gaza and regional security. Traders view these barriers, plus the distinction between incremental integration and official annexation, as decisive barriers to resolution in the "yes" direction before the 2027 deadline, though late legislative action or shifts in external conditions could still intervene.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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