Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fourth term against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won his party's August primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Virginia's recent voting patterns and Warner's substantial fundraising edge of roughly $16 million in cash on hand compared with Mizusawa's under $60,000. Limited polling from spring and early summer showed Warner ahead by 18-20 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, resource disparity, and baseline state partisanship. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or significant candidate health event could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Вирджинии
Победитель выборов в Сенат Вирджинии
$23,148 Объем
$23,148 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Уорнер (Д)
96%
Берт Мизусава (Р)
5%
$23,148 Объем
$23,148 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Марк Уорнер (Д)
$15,894 Объем
96%
Берт Мизусава (Р)
$7,254 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fourth term against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won his party's August primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Virginia's recent voting patterns and Warner's substantial fundraising edge of roughly $16 million in cash on hand compared with Mizusawa's under $60,000. Limited polling from spring and early summer showed Warner ahead by 18-20 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, resource disparity, and baseline state partisanship. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or significant candidate health event could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Объем
$23,148Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fourth term against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won his party's August primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Virginia's recent voting patterns and Warner's substantial fundraising edge of roughly $16 million in cash on hand compared with Mizusawa's under $60,000. Limited polling from spring and early summer showed Warner ahead by 18-20 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, resource disparity, and baseline state partisanship. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or significant candidate health event could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$23,148Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Warner holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Virginia Senate race as the Democratic incumbent seeking a fourth term against Republican nominee Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won his party's August primary. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with Virginia's recent voting patterns and Warner's substantial fundraising edge of roughly $16 million in cash on hand compared with Mizusawa's under $60,000. Limited polling from spring and early summer showed Warner ahead by 18-20 points. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency, resource disparity, and baseline state partisanship. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or significant candidate health event could still alter the trajectory before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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