Ronny Jackson's commanding position in the TX-13 race stems primarily from the district's deep Republican tilt, with a Cook Political Report rating around R+24 and consistent strong performance by GOP presidential candidates. As the incumbent, Jackson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed from his primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Jackson holding millions in reserves compared to Nair's limited resources. The November 3 general election in this Panhandle and North Texas district offers few structural openings for an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-13 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$18,978 Объем
$18,978 Объем
Ронни Джексон (Р)
95%
Марк Наир (Д)
5%
$18,978 Объем
$18,978 Объем
Ронни Джексон (Р)
95%
Марк Наир (Д)
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Ronny Jackson's commanding position in the TX-13 race stems primarily from the district's deep Republican tilt, with a Cook Political Report rating around R+24 and consistent strong performance by GOP presidential candidates. As the incumbent, Jackson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 90 percent of the vote against a minor challenger. Democrat Mark Nair advanced unopposed from his primary but trails sharply in fundraising, with Jackson holding millions in reserves compared to Nair's limited resources. The November 3 general election in this Panhandle and North Texas district offers few structural openings for an upset. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue, or unprecedented national shift would be required to meaningfully alter the current trader consensus reflected in the odds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы