Fort Bend County's diverse suburban electorate, with substantial Hispanic, Asian American, and independent voters, has trended Democratic in recent federal contests, positioning state Representative James Talarico as the frontrunner to carry the county in the November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate race. Talarico secured the Democratic nomination outright in March after outperforming Representative Jasmine Crockett, while Republican nominee Ken Paxton advanced via a May runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Heavy outside spending opposing Paxton, Talarico's fundraising advantage exceeding $68 million, and recent statewide polling showing a competitive or tied contest have reinforced trader views of Talarico's county-level edge. Minor-party and independent candidates register negligible support in available data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Сенат Техаса: Победитель округа Форт-Бенд

Джеймс Таларико (Д)
72%

Кен Пакстон (Р)
12%

Джеймс Таларико (Д)
72%

Кен Пакстон (Р)
12%
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 1:41 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fort Bend County.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Fort Bend County's diverse suburban electorate, with substantial Hispanic, Asian American, and independent voters, has trended Democratic in recent federal contests, positioning state Representative James Talarico as the frontrunner to carry the county in the November 3, 2026, U.S. Senate race. Talarico secured the Democratic nomination outright in March after outperforming Representative Jasmine Crockett, while Republican nominee Ken Paxton advanced via a May runoff victory over incumbent Senator John Cornyn. Heavy outside spending opposing Paxton, Talarico's fundraising advantage exceeding $68 million, and recent statewide polling showing a competitive or tied contest have reinforced trader views of Talarico's county-level edge. Minor-party and independent candidates register negligible support in available data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы