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icon for SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Выборы 4 ноября

SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

icon for SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Выборы 4 ноября

SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

Polymarket

$54,966 Объем

Polymarket

$54,966 Объем

Дженни Коста Ханикатт (Р)

$13,217 Объем

71%

Нэнси Лакор (Д)

$41,749 Объем

30%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds a strong position in the SC-01 general election due to the coastal district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued the governor’s race, allowed Honeycutt to secure the Republican nomination in the June 23 runoff against state Rep. Mark Smith. Retired Navy Vice Adm. Nancy Lacore won her party’s runoff, bringing military leadership experience that Democrats view as an asset in a competitive environment. House Majority PAC has reserved over $2 million in advertising support for the fall, though the seat’s structural advantages and Honeycutt’s local profile as a Charleston County councilwoman and attorney continue to anchor trader consensus ahead of the November 3 vote.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$54,966
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jenny Costa Honeycutt holds a strong position in the SC-01 general election due to the coastal district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The open seat, created after incumbent Nancy Mace pursued the governor’s race, allowed Honeycutt to secure the Republican nomination in the June 23 runoff against state Rep. Mark Smith. Retired Navy Vice Adm. Nancy Lacore won her party’s runoff, bringing military leadership experience that Democrats view as an asset in a competitive environment. House Majority PAC has reserved over $2 million in advertising support for the fall, though the seat’s structural advantages and Honeycutt’s local profile as a Charleston County councilwoman and attorney continue to anchor trader consensus ahead of the November 3 vote.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$54,966
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу SC-02?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу SC-02?

88%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу SC-06?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу SC-06?

95%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу CO-01?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу CO-01?

98%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Дженни Коста Ханикатт (Р)» с 71%, за ним следует «Нэнси Лакор (Д)» с 30%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 71¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 71%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $55K с момента запуска рынка Jan 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — «Дженни Коста Ханикатт (Р)» с 71%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 71%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Нэнси Лакор (Д)» с 30%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «SC-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.