Skip to main content

Чтобы торговать в США, перейдите на polymarket.us

icon for Выборы в Сенат Пиауи: 2-е место
Политика·Глобальные выборы

Выборы в Сенат Пиауи: 2-е место

icon for Выборы в Сенат Пиауи: 2-е место
Политика·Глобальные выборы

Выборы в Сенат Пиауи: 2-е место

Жулио Сезар 35.1%

Марсело Кастро 29.0%

Сиро Ногейра 15%

Тиаго Жункейра 5.5%

Polymarket

$42,854 Объем

Жулио Сезар 35.1%

Марсело Кастро 29.0%

Сиро Ногейра 15%

Тиаго Жункейра 5.5%

Polymarket

$42,854 Объем

icon for Жулио Сезар

Жулио Сезар

$6,246 Объем

35%

icon for Марсело Кастро

Марсело Кастро

$8,189 Объем

29%

icon for Сиро Ногейра

Сиро Ногейра

$14,946 Объем

15%

icon for Тиаго Жункейра

Тиаго Жункейра

$1,226 Объем

5%

icon for Тойнью Дуфрангу

Тойнью Дуфрангу

$782 Объем

<1%

icon for Франсиналдо Леан

Франсиналдо Леан

$818 Объем

<1%

icon for Александре Мариано

Александре Мариано

$774 Объем

<1%

icon for Мария Магдалена Нунес

Мария Магдалена Нунес

$766 Объем

<1%

icon for Мисионер Эвандро Кравейро

Мисионер Эвандро Кравейро

$756 Объем

<1%

icon for Кловис Жозе

Кловис Жозе

$804 Объем

<1%

icon for Дионизио Карвальо

Дионизио Карвальо

$762 Объем

<1%

icon for Жарденья Безерра

Жарденья Безерра

$785 Объем

<1%

icon for Антониу Жозе Лира

Антониу Жозе Лира

$778 Объем

<1%

icon for Майор Паулу Роберту

Майор Паулу Роберту

$782 Объем

<1%

icon for Антониу Барруш

Антониу Барруш

$730 Объем

<1%

icon for Даниэль Роша

Даниэль Роша

$759 Объем

<1%

icon for Ирман Эвандро Маркес

Ирман Эвандро Маркес

$785 Объем

<1%

icon for Жорже Лопес

Жорже Лопес

$643 Объем

<1%

icon for Пастор Сена

Пастор Сена

$791 Объем

<1%

icon for Педро Лаурентино

Педро Лаурентино

$732 Объем

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a competitive contest for Piauí’s two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB) frequently leading narrowly ahead of Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) amid large blocs of undecided voters. Traders appear to view Júlio César as the likeliest second-place finisher due to his positioning in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios and lower rejection levels compared with Ciro Nogueira. Castro’s incumbency and alignment with Governor Rafael Fonteles provide a base, while Ciro’s higher negative ratings and separate party dynamics limit his implied probability for the runner-up spot. Lula’s September 9 visit to Teresina reinforced support for the Castro–Júlio César pairing without disrupting broader understandings involving Ciro. With roughly three weeks until the October vote and persistent high undecided shares, small shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among the top three could alter second-place ordering.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$42,854
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from mid-2026 shows a competitive contest for Piauí’s two Senate seats, with Marcelo Castro (MDB) frequently leading narrowly ahead of Júlio César (PSD) and Ciro Nogueira (PP) amid large blocs of undecided voters. Traders appear to view Júlio César as the likeliest second-place finisher due to his positioning in consolidated first-and-second vote scenarios and lower rejection levels compared with Ciro Nogueira. Castro’s incumbency and alignment with Governor Rafael Fonteles provide a base, while Ciro’s higher negative ratings and separate party dynamics limit his implied probability for the runner-up spot. Lula’s September 9 visit to Teresina reinforced support for the Castro–Júlio César pairing without disrupting broader understandings involving Ciro. With roughly three weeks until the October vote and persistent high undecided shares, small shifts in turnout or late campaign momentum among the top three could alter second-place ordering.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Piauí is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$42,854
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Will Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

Will Marcelo Castro win the most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?

53%
icon for Выиграет ли Венециано второе место по количеству голосов на выборах в Сенат Параибы в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Венециано второе место по количеству голосов на выборах в Сенат Параибы в 2026 году?

60%
Да
icon for Одержит ли Андре ду Прадо второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Сан-Паулу 2026 года?

Одержит ли Андре ду Прадо второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Сан-Паулу 2026 года?

36%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Выборы в Сенат Пиауи: 2-е место» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 20 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Жулио Сезар» с 35%, за ним следует «Марсело Кастро» с 29%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 35¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 35%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Выборы в Сенат Пиауи: 2-е место» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $42.9K с момента запуска рынка Aug 17, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Выборы в Сенат Пиауи: 2-е место», просмотри 20 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Выборы в Сенат Пиауи: 2-е место» — «Жулио Сезар» с 35%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 35%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Марсело Кастро» с 29%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Выборы в Сенат Пиауи: 2-е место» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.