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icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Пэнху
Политика·Тайвань

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Пэнху

icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Пэнху
Политика·Тайвань

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Пэнху

Чэнь Чэнь-чжун 78%

У Шу-чин 23%

Е Чу-лин 1.6%

Чэнь Цзинь-чюань <1%

Polymarket

$10,305 Объем

Чэнь Чэнь-чжун 78%

У Шу-чин 23%

Е Чу-лин 1.6%

Чэнь Цзинь-чюань <1%

Polymarket

$10,305 Объем

icon for Чэнь Чэнь-чжун

Чэнь Чэнь-чжун

$3,132 Объем

78%

icon for У Шу-чин

У Шу-чин

$4,900 Объем

23%

icon for Е Чу-лин

Е Чу-лин

$413 Объем

2%

icon for Чэнь Цзинь-чюань

Чэнь Цзинь-чюань

$370 Объем

1%

icon for Сюй Чжи-фу

Сюй Чжи-фу

$970 Объем

1%

icon for Чжоу Ни-ань

Чжоу Ни-ань

$521 Объем

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Huxi Township head, holds a commanding 77.5% implied probability in the Penghu County Magistrate race, well ahead of Democratic Progressive Party substitute Wu Shu-chin at 22.5% and independents including Yeh Chu-lin at 1.6%. The market positioning stems primarily from the February 2026 incapacitating injury to incumbent DPP Magistrate Chen Kuang-fu, which prompted the party to draft his wife Wu as a late replacement after candidate registration closed in early September. This occurred against a backdrop of KMT party unity behind Chen Chen-chung since April, while multiple independents—some with prior KMT ties—risk splitting the pan-blue vote as they did in 2022. July-August polling showed Chen Chen-chung ahead at roughly 30% to Wu’s 21% and Yeh’s 18%, and the November 28 election timeline leaves limited runway for shifts absent major new developments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$10,305
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung, the Kuomintang nominee and former Huxi Township head, holds a commanding 77.5% implied probability in the Penghu County Magistrate race, well ahead of Democratic Progressive Party substitute Wu Shu-chin at 22.5% and independents including Yeh Chu-lin at 1.6%. The market positioning stems primarily from the February 2026 incapacitating injury to incumbent DPP Magistrate Chen Kuang-fu, which prompted the party to draft his wife Wu as a late replacement after candidate registration closed in early September. This occurred against a backdrop of KMT party unity behind Chen Chen-chung since April, while multiple independents—some with prior KMT ties—risk splitting the pan-blue vote as they did in 2022. July-August polling showed Chen Chen-chung ahead at roughly 30% to Wu’s 21% and Yeh’s 18%, and the November 28 election timeline leaves limited runway for shifts absent major new developments.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$10,305
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Чоу Чунь-ми следующие выборы магистрата уезда Пиндун?

Выиграет ли Чоу Чунь-ми следующие выборы магистрата уезда Пиндун?

88%
Да
icon for Победит ли Сюй Синьин в следующих выборах магистрата уезда Синьчжу?

Победит ли Сюй Синьин в следующих выборах магистрата уезда Синьчжу?

63%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли У Сю-хуа следующие выборы магистрата уезда Тайдун?

Выиграет ли У Сю-хуа следующие выборы магистрата уезда Тайдун?

88%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Пэнху» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Чэнь Чэнь-чжун» с 78%, за ним следует «У Шу-чин» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 78¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 78%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Пэнху» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $10.3K с момента запуска рынка Aug 14, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Пэнху», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Пэнху» — «Чэнь Чэнь-чжун» с 78%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 78%. Следующий ближайший исход — «У Шу-чин» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Пэнху» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.