Trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actor market shows Paul Giamatti holding a modest lead at 52.5% implied probability, with a crowded field of contenders clustered near 50% and lower-probability names trailing. This early positioning reflects Giamatti’s proven awards track record and anticipated 2026 releases, while the tight clustering underscores high uncertainty before major festival premieres or guild nominations emerge. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming critical reception, box office performance, and precursor signals such as SAG-AFTRA or Critics Choice nods. Historical voting patterns favor actors with strong ensemble support and late-year momentum, though the wide field leaves room for shifts once 2026 films screen and industry narratives solidify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Paul Giamatti 53%
Miles Teller 11.2%
Michael Fassbender 9.8%
Гай Пирс 9%
$16,320 Объем
$16,320 Объем

Paul Giamatti
53%

Miles Teller
11%

Michael Fassbender
10%

Гай Пирс
9%

Robert Pattinson
7%

Sam Rockwell
7%

John Goodman
7%

Edward Norton
5%

Robert De Niro
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Charles Melton
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

James Ortiz
1%
Paul Giamatti 53%
Miles Teller 11.2%
Michael Fassbender 9.8%
Гай Пирс 9%
$16,320 Объем
$16,320 Объем

Paul Giamatti
53%

Miles Teller
11%

Michael Fassbender
10%

Гай Пирс
9%

Robert Pattinson
7%

Sam Rockwell
7%

John Goodman
7%

Edward Norton
5%

Robert De Niro
4%

Riz Ahmed
4%

Steve Buscemi
4%

Jesse Plemons
4%

Jeremy Strong
4%

Tom Holland
4%

Himesh Patel
4%

Daniel Craig
4%

Colman Domingo
3%

Adam Scott
3%

Travis Scott
3%

Charles Melton
3%

Channing Tatum
2%

James Ortiz
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.
If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the 2027 Oscars Best Supporting Actor market shows Paul Giamatti holding a modest lead at 52.5% implied probability, with a crowded field of contenders clustered near 50% and lower-probability names trailing. This early positioning reflects Giamatti’s proven awards track record and anticipated 2026 releases, while the tight clustering underscores high uncertainty before major festival premieres or guild nominations emerge. Competitive dynamics hinge on upcoming critical reception, box office performance, and precursor signals such as SAG-AFTRA or Critics Choice nods. Historical voting patterns favor actors with strong ensemble support and late-year momentum, though the wide field leaves room for shifts once 2026 films screen and industry narratives solidify.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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