With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its early stages for 2026 releases, trader consensus shows The Odyssey holding a narrow lead at 49.5% implied probability amid a wide-open field. Multiple titles cluster at lower odds, underscoring uncertainty before major premieres, guild input from SAG-AFTRA, and critical reception shape momentum. Differentiating factors include ensemble scale, director casting history, and alignment with academy voting patterns favoring prestige dramas or blockbusters with standout supporting turns. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts, box office tracking, and precursor awards will likely sharpen probabilities in this competitive category.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Casting Winner
The Odyssey 50%
The Black Ball 17.4%
Wild Horse Nine 11.4%
UNABOMBER 9%
$10,544 Объем
$10,544 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
The Odyssey
50%
The Black Ball
20%
Wild Horse Nine
11%
UNABOMBER
9%
Dune: Part Three
8%
Cry to Heaven
7%
Being Heumann
7%
Fjord
8%
Obsession
6%
Clarissa
4%
Digger
4%
Michael
2%
Saturn Return
<1%
The Odyssey 50%
The Black Ball 17.4%
Wild Horse Nine 11.4%
UNABOMBER 9%
$10,544 Объем
$10,544 Объем
14 мар. 2027 г.
The Odyssey
$7,163 Объем
50%
The Black Ball
$475 Объем
20%
Wild Horse Nine
$307 Объем
11%
UNABOMBER
$263 Объем
9%
Dune: Part Three
$329 Объем
8%
Cry to Heaven
$264 Объем
7%
Being Heumann
$225 Объем
7%
Fjord
$261 Объем
8%
Obsession
$265 Объем
6%
Clarissa
$311 Объем
4%
Digger
$287 Объем
4%
Michael
$203 Объем
2%
Saturn Return
$191 Объем
<1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its early stages for 2026 releases, trader consensus shows The Odyssey holding a narrow lead at 49.5% implied probability amid a wide-open field. Multiple titles cluster at lower odds, underscoring uncertainty before major premieres, guild input from SAG-AFTRA, and critical reception shape momentum. Differentiating factors include ensemble scale, director casting history, and alignment with academy voting patterns favoring prestige dramas or blockbusters with standout supporting turns. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts, box office tracking, and precursor awards will likely sharpen probabilities in this competitive category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Объем
$10,544Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its early stages for 2026 releases, trader consensus shows The Odyssey holding a narrow lead at 49.5% implied probability amid a wide-open field. Multiple titles cluster at lower odds, underscoring uncertainty before major premieres, guild input from SAG-AFTRA, and critical reception shape momentum. Differentiating factors include ensemble scale, director casting history, and alignment with academy voting patterns favoring prestige dramas or blockbusters with standout supporting turns. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts, box office tracking, and precursor awards will likely sharpen probabilities in this competitive category.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Casting.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Casting when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$10,544Дата окончания
14 мар. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...With the 2027 Oscars cycle still in its early stages for 2026 releases, trader consensus shows The Odyssey holding a narrow lead at 49.5% implied probability amid a wide-open field. Multiple titles cluster at lower odds, underscoring uncertainty before major premieres, guild input from SAG-AFTRA, and critical reception shape momentum. Differentiating factors include ensemble scale, director casting history, and alignment with academy voting patterns favoring prestige dramas or blockbusters with standout supporting turns. Upcoming catalysts such as fall festival debuts, box office tracking, and precursor awards will likely sharpen probabilities in this competitive category.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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