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icon for Следующий мэр Кейптауна?
Политика·ЮАР

Следующий мэр Кейптауна?

icon for Следующий мэр Кейптауна?
Политика·ЮАР

Следующий мэр Кейптауна?

Геордин Хилл-Льюис 92%

Роджер Соломонс 2.7%

Нонтандо Нолушунгу 2.7%

Чеслин Стинберг 2.3%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Геордин Хилл-Льюис 92%

Роджер Соломонс 2.7%

Нонтандо Нолушунгу 2.7%

Чеслин Стинберг 2.3%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Геордин Хилл-Льюис

Геордин Хилл-Льюис

$5,415 Объем

92%

icon for Роджер Соломонс

Роджер Соломонс

$211 Объем

3%

icon for Нонтандо Нолушунгу

Нонтандо Нолушунгу

$262 Объем

3%

icon for Чеслин Стинберг

Чеслин Стинберг

$230 Объем

2%

icon for Дерилин Джеймс

Дерилин Джеймс

$221 Объем

2%

icon for Зельда Тарнтаал

Зельда Тарнтаал

$175 Объем

1%

icon for Лувуйо Зондани

Лувуйо Зондани

$175 Объем

1%

icon for Эрнест Терон

Эрнест Терон

$231 Объем

1%

icon for Фиона Абрахамс

Фиона Абрахамс

$221 Объем

1%

icon for Лвази Пакаде

Лвази Пакаде

$175 Объем

1%

icon for Марельдия Чоуглей

Марельдия Чоуглей

$175 Объем

1%

icon for Ндитини Тихидо

Ндитини Тихидо

$221 Объем

<1%

icon for Иеремия Тьюнсма

Иеремия Тьюнсма

$175 Объем

<1%

icon for Эллен Паккис

Эллен Паккис

$308 Объем

<1%

icon for Халид Саид

Халид Саид

$329 Объем

<1%

icon for Бретт Херрон

Бретт Херрон

$243 Объем

<1%

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis holds a commanding position as the Democratic Alliance's mayoral candidate for Cape Town ahead of the 4 November local government elections, backed by the party's two-decade record of governance in the metro and his own incumbency since 2021. As federal DA leader since April 2026, he benefits from heightened national visibility and party resources while campaigning on priorities including expanded policing, job creation, affordable services, housing delivery, and public space maintenance. Recent Ipsos polling shows the DA leading at 46 percent in the city, well ahead of the ANC, though short of an outright majority and within the survey's margin of error. Opposition candidates from parties such as GOOD, the Patriotic Alliance, EFF, and ActionSA remain fragmented. Late developments including candidate withdrawals, turnout shortfalls, or post-election coalition negotiations could still alter the outcome despite the current trader consensus.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,770
Дата окончания
18 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Geordin Hill-Lewis holds a commanding position as the Democratic Alliance's mayoral candidate for Cape Town ahead of the 4 November local government elections, backed by the party's two-decade record of governance in the metro and his own incumbency since 2021. As federal DA leader since April 2026, he benefits from heightened national visibility and party resources while campaigning on priorities including expanded policing, job creation, affordable services, housing delivery, and public space maintenance. Recent Ipsos polling shows the DA leading at 46 percent in the city, well ahead of the ANC, though short of an outright majority and within the survey's margin of error. Opposition candidates from parties such as GOOD, the Patriotic Alliance, EFF, and ActionSA remain fragmented. Late developments including candidate withdrawals, turnout shortfalls, or post-election coalition negotiations could still alter the outcome despite the current trader consensus.

Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026.

This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections.

A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Municipal elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Africa on November 4, 2026. Cape Town’s mayor will be elected by the newly constituted council at its inaugural meeting, which is expected to be held within 14 days of the municipal election, by November 18, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who officially assumes the role of Mayor of Cape Town following the 2026 South African municipal elections. A qualifying individual must be elected mayor by the Cape Town City Council. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of South Africa, including the Electoral Commission of South Africa (https://elections.org.za); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,770
Дата окончания
18 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 18, 2026, 10:57 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...

Связанные

icon for Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?

61%
icon for Станет ли Ретиф Одендал следующим мэром Нельсон Мандела Бей?

Станет ли Ретиф Одендал следующим мэром Нельсон Мандела Бей?

36%
Да
icon for Будет ли Силлиерс Бринк следующим мэром Тшване?

Будет ли Силлиерс Бринк следующим мэром Тшване?

62%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Следующий мэр Кейптауна?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Геордин Хилл-Льюис» с 92%, за ним следует «Роджер Соломонс» с 3%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 92¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 92%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Следующий мэр Кейптауна?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 18, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Следующий мэр Кейптауна?», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Следующий мэр Кейптауна?» — «Геордин Хилл-Льюис» с 92%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 92%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Роджер Соломонс» с 3%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Следующий мэр Кейптауна?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.