North Carolina's 12th congressional district, centered on Charlotte and Mecklenburg County, carries a D+24 partisan voting index that has produced consistent Democratic victories exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican fundraising, organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus on Democratic margins in the 50-60 percent range captures the baseline strength of the incumbent while acknowledging uncertainty over the precise spread, which could narrow only with an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle development before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNC-12 Маржа победы на выборах в Палату представителей
NC-12 Маржа победы на выборах в Палату представителей
Демократ 55-60% 26.5%
Демократ 50-55% 22.3%
Демократ 60-65% 14.4%
Демократ 25-35% 11.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ 65%+
5%
Демократ 60-65%
14%
Демократ 55-60%
26%
Демократ 50-55%
22%
Демократ 45-50%
12%
Демократ 40-45%
7%
Демократ 35-40%
5%
Демократ 25-35%
12%
Демократ 0-25%
3%
Победа республиканца
<1%
Демократ 55-60% 26.5%
Демократ 50-55% 22.3%
Демократ 60-65% 14.4%
Демократ 25-35% 11.7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократ 65%+
$646 Объем
5%
Демократ 60-65%
$184 Объем
14%
Демократ 55-60%
$2,593 Объем
26%
Демократ 50-55%
$1,741 Объем
22%
Демократ 45-50%
$546 Объем
12%
Демократ 40-45%
$443 Объем
7%
Демократ 35-40%
$497 Объем
5%
Демократ 25-35%
$453 Объем
12%
Демократ 0-25%
$696 Объем
3%
Победа республиканца
$533 Объем
<1%
The 2026 NC-12 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-12 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.North Carolina's 12th congressional district, centered on Charlotte and Mecklenburg County, carries a D+24 partisan voting index that has produced consistent Democratic victories exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican fundraising, organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus on Democratic margins in the 50-60 percent range captures the baseline strength of the incumbent while acknowledging uncertainty over the precise spread, which could narrow only with an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle development before Election Day.
The 2026 NC-12 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-12 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-12 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 11, 2026, 1:54 PM ET
Объем
$8,334Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NC-12 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-12 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.North Carolina's 12th congressional district, centered on Charlotte and Mecklenburg County, carries a D+24 partisan voting index that has produced consistent Democratic victories exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican fundraising, organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus on Democratic margins in the 50-60 percent range captures the baseline strength of the incumbent while acknowledging uncertainty over the precise spread, which could narrow only with an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle development before Election Day.
The 2026 NC-12 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-12 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 NC-12 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$8,334Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 11, 2026, 1:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...North Carolina's 12th congressional district, centered on Charlotte and Mecklenburg County, carries a D+24 partisan voting index that has produced consistent Democratic victories exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Alma Adams secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with nearly 79 percent of the vote and faces Republican nominee Jack Codiga in the November general election. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the seat as safe or solid Democratic, reflecting limited Republican fundraising, organizational presence, and the district's urban voter base. Trader consensus on Democratic margins in the 50-60 percent range captures the baseline strength of the incumbent while acknowledging uncertainty over the precise spread, which could narrow only with an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle development before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NC-01 House election by 9%-12%?
25%
Победит ли кандидат от Республиканской партии на выборах в Палату представителей по округу NC-06 в 2026 году с разрывом в 15%-18%?
19%
Да
Победит ли кандидат от Республиканской партии на выборах в Палату представителей по округу NC-11 в 2026 году с разницей в 6%-9%?
35%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы