Recent polling shows Marília Campos (PT) holding a clear lead for one Minas Gerais Senate seat, leaving a tight contest among several contenders for second place ahead of the October 4 election. Aécio Neves (PSDB) entered the race late in August and has quickly polled in the 10-14% range in consolidated first- and second-choice votes, placing him in technical ties with incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8-13%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6-14%, and Marcelo Aro (PP) at 4-9%. High undecided voters (around 29%) and a large share open to switching preferences keep the second-seat probabilities closely matched. The September 14 candidate substitution deadline and final campaign period remain key variables that could shift the field before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCarlos Viana 26%
Domingos Sávio 21.3%
Аэсиу Невес 21.1%
Marília Campos 21%
$46,431 Объем
$46,431 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Carlos Viana
26%
Domingos Sávio
21%
Аэсиу Невес
21%
Marília Campos
21%
Marcelo Aro
6%
Áurea Carolina
2%
Marco Antônio Superman
2%
Marcelo Heringer
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
<1%
Tião Pessoa
<1%
Carlin Moura
<1%
Carlos Viana 26%
Domingos Sávio 21.3%
Аэсиу Невес 21.1%
Marília Campos 21%
$46,431 Объем
$46,431 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Carlos Viana
$13,286 Объем
26%
Domingos Sávio
$5,837 Объем
21%
Аэсиу Невес
$5,210 Объем
21%
Marília Campos
$9,351 Объем
21%
Marcelo Aro
$1,821 Объем
6%
Áurea Carolina
$1,960 Объем
2%
Marco Antônio Superman
$2,158 Объем
2%
Marcelo Heringer
$581 Объем
<1%
Arcanjo Pimenta
$692 Объем
<1%
Jordano Metalúrgico
$555 Объем
<1%
Juiz Ramon Moreira
$458 Объем
<1%
Victória Mello Vic
$594 Объем
<1%
Manoel Carvalho
$705 Объем
<1%
Ana Luiza do MLB
$549 Объем
<1%
Fidélis Alcântara
$825 Объем
<1%
Gustavo Galassi
$559 Объем
<1%
Tião Pessoa
$584 Объем
<1%
Carlin Moura
$703 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows Marília Campos (PT) holding a clear lead for one Minas Gerais Senate seat, leaving a tight contest among several contenders for second place ahead of the October 4 election. Aécio Neves (PSDB) entered the race late in August and has quickly polled in the 10-14% range in consolidated first- and second-choice votes, placing him in technical ties with incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8-13%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6-14%, and Marcelo Aro (PP) at 4-9%. High undecided voters (around 29%) and a large share open to switching preferences keep the second-seat probabilities closely matched. The September 14 candidate substitution deadline and final campaign period remain key variables that could shift the field before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Объем
$46,431Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling shows Marília Campos (PT) holding a clear lead for one Minas Gerais Senate seat, leaving a tight contest among several contenders for second place ahead of the October 4 election. Aécio Neves (PSDB) entered the race late in August and has quickly polled in the 10-14% range in consolidated first- and second-choice votes, placing him in technical ties with incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8-13%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6-14%, and Marcelo Aro (PP) at 4-9%. High undecided voters (around 29%) and a large share open to switching preferences keep the second-seat probabilities closely matched. The September 14 candidate substitution deadline and final campaign period remain key variables that could shift the field before voting.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Minas Gerais is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$46,431Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Marília Campos (PT) holding a clear lead for one Minas Gerais Senate seat, leaving a tight contest among several contenders for second place ahead of the October 4 election. Aécio Neves (PSDB) entered the race late in August and has quickly polled in the 10-14% range in consolidated first- and second-choice votes, placing him in technical ties with incumbent Carlos Viana (PSD) at 8-13%, Domingos Sávio (PL) at 6-14%, and Marcelo Aro (PP) at 4-9%. High undecided voters (around 29%) and a large share open to switching preferences keep the second-seat probabilities closely matched. The September 14 candidate substitution deadline and final campaign period remain key variables that could shift the field before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?
55%
Получит ли Жанайна Рива второй по количеству голосов результат на выборах в Сенат Мату-Гроссу в 2026 году?
76%
Да
Выиграет ли Капитан Альберто Нето второе по количеству голосов место на выборах в Сенат Амазонаса 2026 года?
56%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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