Abdul El-Sayed holds an 84.5% implied probability of carrying Kent County in the November 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race against Mike Rogers at 13%, reflecting trader assessment of the Democrat’s edge in this West Michigan county. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 48.5% statewide, including a decisive win in Kent County over Haley Stevens, and has drawn strong support from college-educated and younger voters. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, leads or ties the statewide contest in recent polls such as the September Glengariff Group survey showing 45.8% to 44.4%. Kent County’s suburban and independent voter base, combined with El-Sayed’s primary performance and fundraising advantage, shapes the county-specific pricing ahead of the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВыборы в Сенат Мичигана: победитель округа Кент

Абдул Эль-Сайед (Д)
85%

Майк Роджерс (Р)
13%

Абдул Эль-Сайед (Д)
85%

Майк Роджерс (Р)
13%
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
Открытие рынка: Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Kent County.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Abdul El-Sayed holds an 84.5% implied probability of carrying Kent County in the November 2026 Michigan U.S. Senate race against Mike Rogers at 13%, reflecting trader assessment of the Democrat’s edge in this West Michigan county. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with 48.5% statewide, including a decisive win in Kent County over Haley Stevens, and has drawn strong support from college-educated and younger voters. Rogers, the unopposed Republican nominee and former congressman, leads or ties the statewide contest in recent polls such as the September Glengariff Group survey showing 45.8% to 44.4%. Kent County’s suburban and independent voter base, combined with El-Sayed’s primary performance and fundraising advantage, shapes the county-specific pricing ahead of the general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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