The Democratic nominee holds a commanding 97.4% implied probability in the Massachusetts 7th district race because the seat ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the country, with a Cook PVI of D+34 and consistent margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley secured her party's nomination on September 1 with 98.4% of the primary vote and faces only an independent challenger in November, as no Republican filed for the general election. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects the district's partisan composition, Pressley's established fundraising and endorsements, and the absence of competitive opposition. An upset would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$36,453 Объем
$36,453 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Айянна Прессли (Д)
97%
Республиканская партия
3%
$36,453 Объем
$36,453 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Айянна Прессли (Д)
$16,992 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$19,461 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding 97.4% implied probability in the Massachusetts 7th district race because the seat ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the country, with a Cook PVI of D+34 and consistent margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley secured her party's nomination on September 1 with 98.4% of the primary vote and faces only an independent challenger in November, as no Republican filed for the general election. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects the district's partisan composition, Pressley's established fundraising and endorsements, and the absence of competitive opposition. An upset would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$36,453Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee holds a commanding 97.4% implied probability in the Massachusetts 7th district race because the seat ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the country, with a Cook PVI of D+34 and consistent margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley secured her party's nomination on September 1 with 98.4% of the primary vote and faces only an independent challenger in November, as no Republican filed for the general election. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects the district's partisan composition, Pressley's established fundraising and endorsements, and the absence of competitive opposition. An upset would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$36,453Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee holds a commanding 97.4% implied probability in the Massachusetts 7th district race because the seat ranks among the most reliably Democratic in the country, with a Cook PVI of D+34 and consistent margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ayanna Pressley secured her party's nomination on September 1 with 98.4% of the primary vote and faces only an independent challenger in November, as no Republican filed for the general election. Race ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflects the district's partisan composition, Pressley's established fundraising and endorsements, and the absence of competitive opposition. An upset would require an unprecedented shift, such as a major unforeseen scandal or health event affecting the incumbent.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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