Current forecast models from international and regional meteorological services project Guangzhou's overnight low on September 10 near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, consistent with seasonal September averages of about 24.6°C and recent daily lows in the mid-20s. Radiative cooling during clearer periods overnight supports this range, while scattered showers and higher humidity may limit further drops. Trader positioning reflects model consensus favoring 23°C as the most probable minimum, tempered by residual uncertainty over exact cloud cover and any late-day frontal influences that could push readings slightly lower toward historical outliers like the 19.4°C record. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Гуанчжоу 10 сентября?
19°C или ниже 91%
22°C 3%
21°C 2%
20°C <1%
19°C или ниже
91%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
-
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
19°C или ниже 91%
22°C 3%
21°C 2%
20°C <1%
19°C или ниже
91%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
-
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from international and regional meteorological services project Guangzhou's overnight low on September 10 near 23–24°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, consistent with seasonal September averages of about 24.6°C and recent daily lows in the mid-20s. Radiative cooling during clearer periods overnight supports this range, while scattered showers and higher humidity may limit further drops. Trader positioning reflects model consensus favoring 23°C as the most probable minimum, tempered by residual uncertainty over exact cloud cover and any late-day frontal influences that could push readings slightly lower toward historical outliers like the 19.4°C record. Updated model runs and local observations through the night will refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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