Recent Q2 2026 results, which missed consensus EPS estimates of $1.16–$1.21 by reporting $1.02–$1.03 alongside softer revenue, anchor trader skepticism for the September 28–30 release. Analysts have trimmed Q3 EPS forecasts to roughly $0.94–$0.97, implying a year-over-year decline from $1.01, while cutting price targets in mid-September amid broader investment-banking margin pressure and reduced capital-markets activity. Current share price near $47–$50 trades below recent moving averages, reflecting these revisions. The 60% market-implied probability of a miss therefore tracks the recent negative surprise pattern and lowered expectations, though a stronger advisory or equities rebound could still produce an upside surprise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПревзойдет ли Jefferies (JEF) квартальную прибыль?
Превзойдет ли Jefferies (JEF) квартальную прибыль?
Да
40% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
Да
40% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 сент. 2026 г.
As of market creation, Jefferies is estimated to release earnings on September 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Jefferies's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.95 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jefferies reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.95 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Jefferies releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Recent Q2 2026 results, which missed consensus EPS estimates of $1.16–$1.21 by reporting $1.02–$1.03 alongside softer revenue, anchor trader skepticism for the September 28–30 release. Analysts have trimmed Q3 EPS forecasts to roughly $0.94–$0.97, implying a year-over-year decline from $1.01, while cutting price targets in mid-September amid broader investment-banking margin pressure and reduced capital-markets activity. Current share price near $47–$50 trades below recent moving averages, reflecting these revisions. The 60% market-implied probability of a miss therefore tracks the recent negative surprise pattern and lowered expectations, though a stronger advisory or equities rebound could still produce an upside surprise.
As of market creation, Jefferies is estimated to release earnings on September 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Jefferies's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.95 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jefferies reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.95 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Jefferies releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Jefferies releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Открытие рынка: Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Объем
$1,181Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/JEF/earningsКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, Jefferies is estimated to release earnings on September 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Jefferies's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.95 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jefferies reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.95 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Jefferies releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Recent Q2 2026 results, which missed consensus EPS estimates of $1.16–$1.21 by reporting $1.02–$1.03 alongside softer revenue, anchor trader skepticism for the September 28–30 release. Analysts have trimmed Q3 EPS forecasts to roughly $0.94–$0.97, implying a year-over-year decline from $1.01, while cutting price targets in mid-September amid broader investment-banking margin pressure and reduced capital-markets activity. Current share price near $47–$50 trades below recent moving averages, reflecting these revisions. The 60% market-implied probability of a miss therefore tracks the recent negative surprise pattern and lowered expectations, though a stronger advisory or equities rebound could still produce an upside surprise.
As of market creation, Jefferies is estimated to release earnings on September 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Jefferies's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.95 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jefferies reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.95 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Jefferies releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If Jefferies releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Объем
$1,181Дата окончания
30 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 16, 2026, 3:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/JEF/earningsКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent Q2 2026 results, which missed consensus EPS estimates of $1.16–$1.21 by reporting $1.02–$1.03 alongside softer revenue, anchor trader skepticism for the September 28–30 release. Analysts have trimmed Q3 EPS forecasts to roughly $0.94–$0.97, implying a year-over-year decline from $1.01, while cutting price targets in mid-September amid broader investment-banking margin pressure and reduced capital-markets activity. Current share price near $47–$50 trades below recent moving averages, reflecting these revisions. The 60% market-implied probability of a miss therefore tracks the recent negative surprise pattern and lowered expectations, though a stronger advisory or equities rebound could still produce an upside surprise.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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