The elevated 75.5% market-implied probability that KB Home will not beat consensus estimates for its fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings, due after the close on September 22, reflects persistent affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates that have constrained buyer demand across the homebuilding sector. Wall Street projects EPS of roughly $0.89–$0.90, down about 44% from $1.61 in the year-ago quarter, alongside housing revenue of approximately $1.30 billion versus $1.62 billion previously. Recent results reinforce the trend, with Q2 2026 revenue falling 27% year over year to $1.11 billion and EPS missing estimates by a penny. Company guidance for deliveries of 2,600–2,800 homes and gross margins of 16.0–16.6% signals limited sequential improvement amid ongoing volume weakness, though a shift toward built-to-order homes offers some margin support. Traders appear to price in these macro headwinds over the potential for operational offsets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПревзойдет ли KB Home (KBH) квартальную прибыль?
Превзойдет ли KB Home (KBH) квартальную прибыль?
Да
25% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
Да
25% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
22 сент. 2026 г.
As of market creation, KB Home is estimated to release earnings on September 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for KB Home's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.90 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if KB Home reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.90 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
The elevated 75.5% market-implied probability that KB Home will not beat consensus estimates for its fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings, due after the close on September 22, reflects persistent affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates that have constrained buyer demand across the homebuilding sector. Wall Street projects EPS of roughly $0.89–$0.90, down about 44% from $1.61 in the year-ago quarter, alongside housing revenue of approximately $1.30 billion versus $1.62 billion previously. Recent results reinforce the trend, with Q2 2026 revenue falling 27% year over year to $1.11 billion and EPS missing estimates by a penny. Company guidance for deliveries of 2,600–2,800 homes and gross margins of 16.0–16.6% signals limited sequential improvement amid ongoing volume weakness, though a shift toward built-to-order homes offers some margin support. Traders appear to price in these macro headwinds over the potential for operational offsets.
As of market creation, KB Home is estimated to release earnings on September 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for KB Home's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.90 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if KB Home reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.90 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Открытие рынка: Sep 10, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Объем
$507Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 11:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/KBH/earningsКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, KB Home is estimated to release earnings on September 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for KB Home's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.90 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if KB Home reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.90 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
The elevated 75.5% market-implied probability that KB Home will not beat consensus estimates for its fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings, due after the close on September 22, reflects persistent affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates that have constrained buyer demand across the homebuilding sector. Wall Street projects EPS of roughly $0.89–$0.90, down about 44% from $1.61 in the year-ago quarter, alongside housing revenue of approximately $1.30 billion versus $1.62 billion previously. Recent results reinforce the trend, with Q2 2026 revenue falling 27% year over year to $1.11 billion and EPS missing estimates by a penny. Company guidance for deliveries of 2,600–2,800 homes and gross margins of 16.0–16.6% signals limited sequential improvement amid ongoing volume weakness, though a shift toward built-to-order homes offers some margin support. Traders appear to price in these macro headwinds over the potential for operational offsets.
As of market creation, KB Home is estimated to release earnings on September 22, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for KB Home's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.90 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if KB Home reports GAAP EPS greater than $0.90 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
If KB Home releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Объем
$507Дата окончания
22 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 10, 2026, 11:22 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/KBH/earningsКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...The elevated 75.5% market-implied probability that KB Home will not beat consensus estimates for its fiscal third-quarter 2026 earnings, due after the close on September 22, reflects persistent affordability pressures from elevated mortgage rates that have constrained buyer demand across the homebuilding sector. Wall Street projects EPS of roughly $0.89–$0.90, down about 44% from $1.61 in the year-ago quarter, alongside housing revenue of approximately $1.30 billion versus $1.62 billion previously. Recent results reinforce the trend, with Q2 2026 revenue falling 27% year over year to $1.11 billion and EPS missing estimates by a penny. Company guidance for deliveries of 2,600–2,800 homes and gross margins of 16.0–16.6% signals limited sequential improvement amid ongoing volume weakness, though a shift toward built-to-order homes offers some margin support. Traders appear to price in these macro headwinds over the potential for operational offsets.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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