Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic area encompassing northwest Chicago suburbs. Bean, a former three-term representative, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and benefits from prior name recognition, fundraising strength, and alignment with the district’s voter base. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Jennifer Davis, the Republican nominee and political newcomer, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed. Late developments such as major shifts in national sentiment, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain uncommon based on current district fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-08
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-08
$21,818 Объем
$21,818 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мелисса Бин (Д)
94%
Дженнифер Дэвис (Р)
6%
$21,818 Объем
$21,818 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Мелисса Бин (Д)
$9,791 Объем
94%
Дженнифер Дэвис (Р)
$12,027 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic area encompassing northwest Chicago suburbs. Bean, a former three-term representative, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and benefits from prior name recognition, fundraising strength, and alignment with the district’s voter base. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Jennifer Davis, the Republican nominee and political newcomer, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed. Late developments such as major shifts in national sentiment, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain uncommon based on current district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$21,818Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic area encompassing northwest Chicago suburbs. Bean, a former three-term representative, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and benefits from prior name recognition, fundraising strength, and alignment with the district’s voter base. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Jennifer Davis, the Republican nominee and political newcomer, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed. Late developments such as major shifts in national sentiment, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain uncommon based on current district fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,818Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Melissa Bean holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 8th congressional district race because the open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, sits in a strongly Democratic area encompassing northwest Chicago suburbs. Bean, a former three-term representative, secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and benefits from prior name recognition, fundraising strength, and alignment with the district’s voter base. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Jennifer Davis, the Republican nominee and political newcomer, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed. Late developments such as major shifts in national sentiment, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow the margin, though such outcomes remain uncommon based on current district fundamentals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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