La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois’s 7th Congressional District after retiring incumbent Danny Davis endorsed him, prevailing in a crowded field despite a fragmented vote. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins trader consensus on Ford’s general election position. Chad Koppie, the Republican nominee who won his low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including negligible reported fundraising and limited name recognition in a Chicago-centered seat. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican national environment, though historical patterns in this district suggest limited scope for such shifts before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоIL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
IL-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$26,641 Объем
$26,641 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ла Шон Форд (Д)
97%
Чад Коппи (Р)
1%
$26,641 Объем
$26,641 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Ла Шон Форд (Д)
$12,288 Объем
97%
Чад Коппи (Р)
$14,353 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois’s 7th Congressional District after retiring incumbent Danny Davis endorsed him, prevailing in a crowded field despite a fragmented vote. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins trader consensus on Ford’s general election position. Chad Koppie, the Republican nominee who won his low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including negligible reported fundraising and limited name recognition in a Chicago-centered seat. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican national environment, though historical patterns in this district suggest limited scope for such shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$26,641Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois’s 7th Congressional District after retiring incumbent Danny Davis endorsed him, prevailing in a crowded field despite a fragmented vote. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins trader consensus on Ford’s general election position. Chad Koppie, the Republican nominee who won his low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including negligible reported fundraising and limited name recognition in a Chicago-centered seat. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican national environment, though historical patterns in this district suggest limited scope for such shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$26,641Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...La Shawn Ford secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary for Illinois’s 7th Congressional District after retiring incumbent Danny Davis endorsed him, prevailing in a crowded field despite a fragmented vote. The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+34 Partisan Voter Index and consistent large margins for Democratic presidential candidates, underpins trader consensus on Ford’s general election position. Chad Koppie, the Republican nominee who won his low-turnout primary, faces structural barriers including negligible reported fundraising and limited name recognition in a Chicago-centered seat. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong Republican national environment, though historical patterns in this district suggest limited scope for such shifts before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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