Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District after winning a crowded March 2026 primary to succeed retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, while John Elleson prevailed in the Republican primary. The district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins and carries solid-Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Biss reflects this structural advantage, the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A scheduled September 24 candidate forum offers one remaining platform for direct comparison before the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific issues would need to emerge to alter the current implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-09
$31,625 Объем
$31,625 Объем
Даниэль Бисс (Д)
95%
Джон Эллесон (Р)
5%
$31,625 Объем
$31,625 Объем
Даниэль Бисс (Д)
95%
Джон Эллесон (Р)
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District after winning a crowded March 2026 primary to succeed retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, while John Elleson prevailed in the Republican primary. The district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins and carries solid-Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Biss reflects this structural advantage, the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A scheduled September 24 candidate forum offers one remaining platform for direct comparison before the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific issues would need to emerge to alter the current implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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