**Trader consensus has converged on 100-101°F as the highest temperature recorded in Austin on September 10 because official observations from stations including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow band under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points produced heat indices near 107°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 92°F but recent years have frequently seen 99–101°F peaks. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an unanticipated measurement error or station-specific anomaly could reopen the market, scenarios traders now assign negligible probability given multiple corroborating reports.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Остине 10 сентября?
Самая высокая температура в Остине 10 сентября?
100–101°F 100.0%
89°F или ниже <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$62,241 Объем
$62,241 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
Нет
90-91°F
Нет
92-93°F
Нет
94-95°F
Нет
96-97°F
Нет
98-99°F
Нет
100–101°F
Да
102-103°F
Нет
104-105°F
Нет
106-107°F
Нет
108°F или выше
Нет
100–101°F 100.0%
89°F или ниже <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$62,241 Объем
$62,241 Объем
10 сент. 2026 г.
89°F или ниже
$3,214 Объем
Нет
90-91°F
$3,636 Объем
Нет
92-93°F
$8,352 Объем
Нет
94-95°F
$5,022 Объем
Нет
96-97°F
$10,344 Объем
Нет
98-99°F
$14,045 Объем
Нет
100–101°F
$9,299 Объем
Да
102-103°F
$5,588 Объем
Нет
104-105°F
$1,670 Объем
Нет
106-107°F
$775 Объем
Нет
108°F или выше
$295 Объем
Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 100-101°F as the highest temperature recorded in Austin on September 10 because official observations from stations including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow band under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points produced heat indices near 107°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 92°F but recent years have frequently seen 99–101°F peaks. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an unanticipated measurement error or station-specific anomaly could reopen the market, scenarios traders now assign negligible probability given multiple corroborating reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Объем
$62,241Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 100-101°F as the highest temperature recorded in Austin on September 10 because official observations from stations including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow band under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points produced heat indices near 107°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 92°F but recent years have frequently seen 99–101°F peaks. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an unanticipated measurement error or station-specific anomaly could reopen the market, scenarios traders now assign negligible probability given multiple corroborating reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$62,241Дата окончания
10 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
**Trader consensus has converged on 100-101°F as the highest temperature recorded in Austin on September 10 because official observations from stations including Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirmed a daily maximum in that narrow band under clear to partly cloudy skies and southerly flow.** Persistent high pressure and above-average dew points produced heat indices near 107°F, consistent with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 92°F but recent years have frequently seen 99–101°F peaks. Model guidance issued in the preceding 48 hours aligned closely with the eventual reading, leaving little room for revision. Only an unanticipated measurement error or station-specific anomaly could reopen the market, scenarios traders now assign negligible probability given multiple corroborating reports.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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