The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination after winning the May primary outright, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed; both face a low-turnout contest in a district that delivered over 40-point Democratic advantages in 2024. The special election to fill the vacancy left by the April 2026 death of longtime Representative David Scott further reinforced the pattern, with Democrat Everton Blair prevailing in the August runoff. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a late-breaking development affecting the Democratic nominee, neither of which has materialized in available indicators.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей GA-13
$39,455 Объем
$39,455 Объем
Жасмин Кларк (Д)
97%
Джонатан Чавес (Р)
3%
$39,455 Объем
$39,455 Объем
Жасмин Кларк (Д)
97%
Джонатан Чавес (Р)
3%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...The district's entrenched Democratic lean, reflected in consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles and nonpartisan ratings classifying it as solid or safe for the party, anchors trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. State Representative Jasmine Clark secured the Democratic nomination after winning the May primary outright, while Republican Jonathan Chavez advanced unopposed; both face a low-turnout contest in a district that delivered over 40-point Democratic advantages in 2024. The special election to fill the vacancy left by the April 2026 death of longtime Representative David Scott further reinforced the pattern, with Democrat Everton Blair prevailing in the August runoff. A Republican upset would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a late-breaking development affecting the Democratic nominee, neither of which has materialized in available indicators.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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