Hank Johnson’s commanding position in Georgia’s 4th Congressional District stems from the area’s consistent Democratic lean, encompassing Atlanta’s eastern suburbs in DeKalb and Gwinnett counties, combined with his long incumbency since 2007 and decisive primary victory in May 2026. Johnson captured nearly 80 percent in the Democratic primary against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie ran unopposed with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with Johnson’s 51-point general election margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Johnson reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a late-breaking development affecting Johnson’s candidacy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей GA-04
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей GA-04
$48,081 Объем
$48,081 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Хэнк Джонсон (Д)
96%
Джеймс Даффи (Р)
2%
$48,081 Объем
$48,081 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Хэнк Джонсон (Д)
$29,990 Объем
96%
Джеймс Даффи (Р)
$18,091 Объем
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hank Johnson’s commanding position in Georgia’s 4th Congressional District stems from the area’s consistent Democratic lean, encompassing Atlanta’s eastern suburbs in DeKalb and Gwinnett counties, combined with his long incumbency since 2007 and decisive primary victory in May 2026. Johnson captured nearly 80 percent in the Democratic primary against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie ran unopposed with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with Johnson’s 51-point general election margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Johnson reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a late-breaking development affecting Johnson’s candidacy.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Объем
$48,081Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hank Johnson’s commanding position in Georgia’s 4th Congressional District stems from the area’s consistent Democratic lean, encompassing Atlanta’s eastern suburbs in DeKalb and Gwinnett counties, combined with his long incumbency since 2007 and decisive primary victory in May 2026. Johnson captured nearly 80 percent in the Democratic primary against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie ran unopposed with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with Johnson’s 51-point general election margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Johnson reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a late-breaking development affecting Johnson’s candidacy.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$48,081Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Hank Johnson’s commanding position in Georgia’s 4th Congressional District stems from the area’s consistent Democratic lean, encompassing Atlanta’s eastern suburbs in DeKalb and Gwinnett counties, combined with his long incumbency since 2007 and decisive primary victory in May 2026. Johnson captured nearly 80 percent in the Democratic primary against two challengers, while Republican nominee James Duffie ran unopposed with minimal reported fundraising. Forecasters rate the seat as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with Johnson’s 51-point general election margin in 2024. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for Johnson reflects these structural advantages ahead of the November 3, 2026, contest. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national political shift, unusually low Democratic turnout, or a late-breaking development affecting Johnson’s candidacy.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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